Pattern Mega March 2023

[Dawgdaze22]

Just get ready for severe weather at this point.

 

[rburrel2]

GFS looks similar to the icon with the day 7 threat potential. Ukmet looks like it's setting up similar at hr 144. Maybe an outside chance materializing.

 

[Metwannabe]

GFS looks similar to the icon with the day 7 threat potential. Ukmet looks like it's setting up similar at hr 144. Maybe an outside chance materializing.

Yeah seeing suppressed and within 7 days gives me false hope....... again lol

 

[SD]

Raleigh has had roughly 3" of snow total the past 4 winters. This is the worst 4 yr stretch since 2005-2008...the worst 5 yr stretch has been roughly 9.5" total. So to even meet that futitlity we would need 6-7" next winter...that seems insurmountable.

What was rdus total the previous 4?

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

Raleigh has had roughly 3" of snow total the past 4 winters. This is the worst 4 yr stretch since 2005-2008...the worst 5 yr stretch has been roughly 9.5" total. So to even meet that futitlity we would need 6-7" next winter...that seems insurmountable.

I wonder what the total was for the 5 year stretch from 2000-2004 in Raleigh. That seemed to be an active period.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Our best chance to get a “storm” would probably be behind the initial storm that looks to be growing support for a NE coastal as seen on most models.. then that helps back up the flow and allows the next system to have a more suppressed Storm track .. question would be how much does the first system amplify.. stronger gives us a deeper cold injection .. and of course the track of the second storm is key as well. Again, I’m certainly not expecting winter weather but this will keep us in a cold pattern as CPC has highlighted for a while now

 

[KyloG]

What was rdus total the previous 4?

18" the previous 4 years...so 4.5" per season.

 

[KyloG]

I wonder what the total was for the 5 year stretch from 2000-2004 in Raleigh. That seemed to be an active period.

62" but we had 3 double digit seasons. That stretch will probably never be duplicated again.

 

[olhausen]

This is for Sunday afternoon into the evening On the 12z Gfs. Taken with a huge grain of salt of course because everyday that goes by its less and less likely we get snow. A late season Hail Mary would be nice though!

 

[olhausen]

Just get ready for severe weather at this point.

No thanks, I’ve had enough already

 

[superjames1992]

Raleigh has had roughly 3" of snow total the past 4 winters. This is the worst 4 yr stretch since 2005-2008...the worst 5 yr stretch has been roughly 9.5" total. So to even meet that futitlity we would need 6-7" next winter...that seems insurmountable.

I think RDU has 4-5” or so last year and a couple inches in the February 2020 slushstorm. I think we had 0.5-1” in the 2020-2021 disastrous winter, too. I suspect the 1990s probably had a worse stretch.

 

[JHS]

I think RDU has 4-5” or so last year and a couple inches in the February 2020 slushstorm. I think we had 0.5-1” in the 2020-2021 disastrous winter, too. I suspect the 1990s probably had a worse stretch.

1990-92 did not feature much winter precip outside of the mountains. 1 small snowstorm along I-20 in 1992 and an icestorm in some of the area just after Christmas 1992. 1996-97 and 1997-98 were not too good either for most of us.

 

[Metwannabe]

Euro only a couple of ticks south/colder for some last minute hope for I-40 north crowd. It's not warm

 

[Tarheel1]

This is for Sunday afternoon into the evening On the 12z Gfs. Taken with a huge grain of salt of course because everyday that goes by its less and less likely we get snow. A late season Hail Mary would be nice though!
View attachment 134031View attachment 134032

That’s a lot of pink and white 2 states N of you! ?

 

[Tarheel1]

No thanks, I’ve had enough already
View attachment 134034View attachment 134035View attachment 134036

 

[KyloG]

Remember the fantasy epic cold/snow pattern the EPS was predicting....what a shocker to see it evaporate. ?‍

Today's EPS run v/s 3 days ago. Big ole trough in the west now.

 

[KyloG]

And for the temps...?

I was called a troll for saying don't trust the cold, most of us knew this.

 

[Metwannabe]

EPS snow depth showing a little noise for the weekend for NE NC, anybody ahem @KyloG lol got maps. I'm desperate, is it one member or a few small members or nothing at all?

 

[KyloG]

EPS snow depth showing a little noise for the weekend for NE NC, anybody ahem @KyloG lol got maps. I'm desperate, is it one member or a few small members or nothing at all?

Here you go...

 

[KyloG]

EPS snow depth showing a little noise for the weekend for NE NC, anybody ahem @KyloG lol got maps. I'm desperate, is it one member or a few small members or nothing at all?