Pattern Mega March 2023

[ATLwxfan]

Looks like an evolution to more of the same garbage that we've seen through the winter. Meh

View attachment 133997

Probably a pacific pattern but a suppressed ridge. Enjoy 60° and rain.


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[LickWx]

That “extreme cold” is turning into upper 50s over 30s, haha wack View attachment 133998

It looks like a classic over perform during the day and radiate more during the night setup . Not good for plants really tho . Kinda setup where you get 60/28 days easily .

 

[ATLwxfan]

That “extreme cold” is turning into upper 50s over 30s, haha wack View attachment 133998

If you said that three days ago they’d call you crazy. With the exception of the schizo Canadian things really getting muted. Makes sense in the context of climo, sun angle, lack of snow cover, etc.


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[Myfrotho704_]

???????

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This is a huge moderation trend, this is near a Feb 2021 level of fail

 

[NoSnowATL]

This is a huge moderation trend, this is near a Feb 2021 level of fail View attachment 134002

Some saw this coming, some didn’t.

 

[KyloG]

“Bitter cold and snow” was never on the table but this will be some nice weather coming up. Cool nights, pleasant days.

 

[ATLwxfan]

Some saw this coming, some didn’t.

The lesson here is maybe the GFS wasn’t completely out to lunch. It was seeing the can being kicked which other models then picked up on. Interesting stuff.

Also it is amazing what we need just to get some BN temps from an MJO and indices standpoint.


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[Tarheel1]

If anyone is still looking for snow the cmc was how you would want to get there. There is still a decent amount of noise in that 3/15-18 period but these trends aren't that greatView attachment 133994
View attachment 133995View attachment 133996

That damn western trough, is relentless this year! Jeez

 

[Gary]

“Bitter cold and snow” was never on the table but this will be some nice weather coming up. Cool nights, pleasant days.

View attachment 134003

At this point, I would take this year round, even if it meant never seeing another flake of snow ? ?

 

[jrips27]

 

[Metwannabe]

Used to this would generate excitement, then it dwindled to where it would at least pique my interest, now it just ticks me off.....

 

[Metwannabe]

I see a tiny bit of noise on the EPS but I don't know that I care

 

[carolinachaos]

At this point, I’m resigned to the fact that odds are we will not see any appreciable winter precipitation. Let’s move-on to Spring and hope for the best next season.


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[KyloG]

Nina on borrowed time?

 

[KyloG]

2018 had some late March snows...for those that are holding out hope. I am getting old...I don't remember 3/12.

 

[SD]

2018 had some late March snows...for those that are holding out hope. I am getting old...I don't remember 3/12.
View attachment 134022View attachment 134023

3/12 was nice don't think it was expected to stick them boom. 3/25 was a mush fest

 

[Metwannabe]

Ifs and buts were candy and nuts......

 

[ATLwxfan]

Ifs and buts were candy and nuts......

We’d have peanut m&m’s and no snow.


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[KyloG]

Raleigh has had roughly 3" of snow total the past 4 winters. This is the worst 4 yr stretch since 2005-2008...the worst 5 yr stretch has been roughly 9.5" total. So to even meet that futitlity we would need 6-7" next winter...that seems insurmountable.