Pattern Mega March 2023

[iGRXY]

That didn’t take long at all View attachment 133946

The 200 hr GFS OP not moving me lol

 

[rburrel2]

The 200 hr GFS OP not moving me lol

Especially when the GEFS is holding steady.

 

[ATLwxfan]

That didn’t take long at all View attachment 133946

She’s a beaut and a resilient one at that! The swings are wild.


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[olhausen]

74 mph wind gusts in White House today. Went on for hours and was definitely the most insane wind I’ve seen due to how long it went on. My fence plus neighbors fences didn’t stand a chance. Nor did the trees.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Especially when the GEFS is holding steady.

View attachment 133948

Looks to me like it’s slowly trending to the EPS, and it probably will, this pattern coming up favors amplification, and the euro/EPS have been steady with a more amped/slower solution, these colder air-masses are harder to move and typically drag

 

[Usmeagle2005]

Little good news.

 

[LukeBarrette]

Looks to me like it’s slowly trending to the EPS, and it probably will, this pattern coming up favors amplification, and the euro/EPS have been steady with a more amped/slower solution, these colder air-masses are harder to move and typically drag

It’s pretty clear as day that the SE ridge will win out in this next threat. The NE weenies are not sold yet.

 

[Tarheelwx]

I think it’s a hiccup this time.
TW

 

[LukeBarrette]

Fire that severe thread up ?

 

[Hpdb301]

View attachment 133959
Fire that severe thread up ?

For sure!! if it verifies!!

 

[J.C.]

Some minor, yet unsurprising changes in 24 hours. ?

last night 00z


current

 

[Mitch West]

Just here to break the ice this morning. Literally..

 

[tennessee storm]

View attachment 133959
Fire that severe thread up ?

Looks juicy

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Looks to me like it’s slowly trending to the EPS, and it probably will, this pattern coming up favors amplification, and the euro/EPS have been steady with a more amped/slower solution, these colder air-masses are harder to move and typically drag

Classic example here. Big changes on the gefs which I alluded to last night

 

[iGRXY]

We end up right back here 2 days later. Cold is coming. Snow? Didn’t expect it in the first place. Winter lovers just need to be happy with below to well below average temps for the month before we get into spring.

 

[iGRXY]

Just enjoy it while it happens. We will be in the 80’s with DPs in the upper 60’s soon enough

 

[ATLwxfan]

Classic example here. Big changes on the gefs which I alluded to last night View attachment 133964View attachment 133965

Doesn’t make sense with MJO and neutral PNA -NAO. It’s just a delay I would imagine. Or it illustrates that the whole thing is broken.


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[Myfrotho704_]

Doesn’t make sense with MJO and neutral PNA -NAO. It’s just a delay I would imagine. Or it illustrates that the whole thing is broken.


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Delay, really no stopping it from moving east when all set and done, but the more we slow it, the more likely we shorten the cold pattern

 

[Chazwin]

Delay, really no stopping it from moving east when all set and done, but the more we slow it, the more likely we shorten the cold pattern

The more likely it is to shorten things, but I will say that with a MJO high amp phase 8 moving into phase one and a strongly -AO/-NAO combination, I think it’s likely that we’ll see at least below average temperatures set up for a couple weeks with some quite significant cold shots in there. I kinda thought yesterday morning that the GFS suite was rushing things a bit. The EPS/Euro has really stayed very consistent on the timing

 

[Thor]

Nice day on the coast, surfside beach pier finally going to be complete in May. Been down since hurricane Matthew. Rebuilding in concrete this time.