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Pattern May Thread

Madison , WI also saw its earliest 90*F day on 5/10 since 1980 (which, along with 2011, was also an inferno summer for Texas).

And then there was this:

1569815030_TVCrecord.png.f0dda396029649772d6a10b92f1362b9.png
 
Pretty impressive temps showing up on the eps around day 9 through 12
ecmwf-ensemble-KHRJ-daily_tmin_tmax-2270400.png

+8-10 this time of year at that lead time is likely to end up pretty hot unless things change. On the bright side it looks like the op euro is near the hottest of the suite so maybe some of the extremely hot temps it's showing are a little overdone. Still would expect a period of low 90s for many
 
It seems the best DFW could do today was an intra-hour 90*F.

The high clouds this morning from convection in West Texas didn't help.
 
NorthDFWwx said:
Madison , WI also saw its earliest 90*F day on 5/10 since 1980 (which, along with 2011, was also an inferno summer for Texas).

And then there was this:

1569815030_TVCrecord.png.f0dda396029649772d6a10b92f1362b9.png
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We had a record high low last night! That was fun! I think it was 71 as the low. Currently ? BD58E143-0641-474A-9805-77BE04C36401.png
 
metwannabe said:
First naked swirl of the year, surprised it's not named yet ;)

View attachment 118350
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Planning a Beach trip, This weekend? cancel it, trust Me on this one..

Otherize cool Northern Breeze, overcast with a High % of drought crushing Rains, (at least for the Coast).. Fishing Has been good though off the Piers
A NEW Pier record has been set on JMP (Johnney Mercers pier ) in Wrightsville Beach.. WHAT A PIG for a "Spring King"!

55.2 pounds!

Current Obs..
Temps 66/58F
Pressure 30.04 in
Visibility 10 miles
Clouds Cloudy
Dew Point 52 F
Humidity 60 %
Winds N@ 30~35 +/- MPH
 

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metwannabe said:
Yep, right at planting time too. Really these cool nights and dry conditions can be problematic for seed germination
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We have exactly the type of system off the coast to really help these areas, just not enough juice to it. Seems like on the Hires models it's gotten very localized with who will get a decent rain event.
 
Thor said:
We have exactly the type of system off the coast to really help these areas, just not enough juice to it. Seems like on the Hires models it's gotten very localized with who will get a decent rain event.
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Yeah looks more scattered and not wide spread unfortunately, will be the have and have nots, per usual.
 
Tarheel1 said:
We had a record high low last night! That was fun! I think it was 71 as the low. Currently ? View attachment 118372
Click to expand...
Rinse and repeat! Record high minimum of 73 last night, record went back to 1800s. Feels like Miami currently and it’s way before noon!??17AB5216-58FC-4D30-943A-9340B40B2F00.png
 
12z hires fv3 and arw sisters have a decent amount of rain coverage over the next 48-60 hr. Hopefully we can get decent amounts across a large area with the heat ridge and only afternoon storms possible on the back end of this it could dry out quickly
 
Took a deeper look into the 00z GFS, and it showed 4 days of 100*F+ highs at DFW from 5/14 - 5/16 and also 5/20.
 
metwannabe said:
Yep, right at planting time too. Really these cool nights and dry conditions can be problematic for seed germination
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Yeah it would be nice to see some rain and really more warmth. Soil temps have dropped back into the mid 60s for most of our region and that coupled with the cold nights and really cold day Sunday has made ag unhappy. If you look at most warm season lawns they are pretty meh right now and a yellowish green a lot more like what you'd expect in early to mid April instead of mid may, most of my yard has stopped leaf production and gone to seed production from the cold stress. Not to mention most fields that have been planted in the last 30 days haven't started growing
 
SD said:
12z hires fv3 and arw sisters have a decent amount of rain coverage over the next 48-60 hr. Hopefully we can get decent amounts across a large area with the heat ridge and only afternoon storms possible on the back end of this it could dry out quickly
Click to expand...

The Nam3k has a nice training band of storms right over the heart of the worst drought area Sat....would do wonders for the drought conditions...
 
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SD said:
Yeah it would be nice to see some rain and really more warmth. Soil temps have dropped back into the mid 60s for most of our region and that coupled with the cold nights and really cold day Sunday has made ag unhappy. If you look at most warm season lawns they are pretty meh right now and a yellowish green a lot more like what you'd expect in early to mid April instead of mid may, most of my yard has stopped leaf production and gone to seed production from the cold stress. Not to mention most fields that have been planted in the last 30 days haven't started growing
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They are just now planting corn up here! Big delays from the temps. As of 10 days ago,3% of all corn crops had been planted. I suspect after this weekend, those totals will be 95-100%
 
Tarheel1 said:
They are just now planting corn up here! Big delays from the temps. As of 10 days ago,3% of all corn crops had been planted. I suspect after this weekend, those totals will be 95-100%
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I want to make a snarky post about cool and dry but I'll leave it be
 
Today high at DFW was 92*F. The stratus just missed us to the SE this morning, so only had a FEW-SCT clouds at most before daytime mixing really kicked in.

12z GFS and EURO are already delaying the "cool down" that has been advertised next weekend.
 
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