Geez we’re gonna stay in this torch forever 
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May 2021 Discussion Thread
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Just mentally color the SE red and you don't need them
Last edited:
Geez 
Avalanche
Member
Ha I wouldn't get too excited. We are probably 8-14 days away from real rain chances
#Flashdrought
I bet that will be tossed around for the next 2 weeks or so. Still better to bake in May than than August. Hoping we can get one more strong front in later in the month to hopefully break down this ridge. I think 2019 is a great comparison. I just hope we can not flashdrought in Sept/Oct. That was miserable.
?
I wasn't that impressed with the heat on the EPS/Euro until mid next week
Yesss 
This was what I was mentioning the other day about the EURO over doing heat in the mid-range. For me it’s gone from having highs in the 94-96 degree range this weekend to now being in the 90-92 degree range now. Right now it’s showing me in the 97-99 degree range mid next week, but it wouldn’t shock me if we end up closer to 93-95 then. I think what’s going to be most impressive about this heat wave coming up is the number of days in a row above 90. We’re looking at 7-8 straight days 90 or above in May which would certainly be out of the norm.
It's funny how the models heat bias in the D5+ range during the warm season doesn't get a ton of pub. GFS and Euro certainly overdo 2m temps in the warm season. Maybe the gfs got better with the recent upgrades idk
Many global Models = higher dewpoints/lower temps towards veri, that’s why many days in summer we see surprise pop ups somewhere that manage to break the cap due to better LLvL moisture then modeled
Models have to be raising the BL too high and over mixing. That's all I can figure
Where’s the -NAO now weenies 
You are a weenie ?
I bet the Euro busts high here
You have the weenie comment of the year however
I know I’m a weenie tho ... also in my defense it did get interesting around that time .. u also pulled that up quick a little too quick if u ask me ?
That’s some weird stuff/noise the euro is doing with those daytime dews 
Oh boy 
Look how much the euro
Mixes out
Mixes out
Disturbed flow on the Euro 
Agreed it's certainly not as bad as I expected. Just don't close the ridge and I'm good
Euro is definitely overmixing i don’t think this is happening lol 
Summertime popcorn ??
we dove right into summer, gonna be hard to see a 70-80 degree day now 
This is the same thing that the EURO did in May 2019, but on a smaller scale. Then it was over mixing and was putting out temps of 104-108 in central/southern GA over into SC... those places topped out 98-102. Also, to go along with energy that is showing on these runs, there are pretty good lapse rates as well, so this is definitely a set up were we can see storms pop up everyday.
Wow.. 
BHS1975
Member
With the dews mixing out into the 40s the next couple days it's not bad.
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
LickWx
Member
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Umbrella (song) - Wikipedia
Looks like a lot of the eps members start backing down at D9 on the heat and are fairly wet memorial day wknd
Oh man that D9+ pattern is ripe for a stalled front and rain
That’s how you get aft/evening storms 
Sunday has some intrigue too but we may still be too dry in the low/mid levels
I 
summer lapse rates 
summer lapse rates
We certainly fart around with trying to wedge over the next 10 days. It wouldn't be shocking at all to see @metwannabe in the 70s one day while the rest of us are in the 90s
LickWx
Member
Go home it’s late in the season for it.