Severe March 14-17 Severe

[ForsythSnow]

The updraft helicity map.....what am I looking for? Is this potential tracks?


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To my understanding it's not set tracks but shows the general potential within a given area for maximum tornadic potential if a storm's couplet organizes. Areas you see a ton of higher values concentrated are at highest risk for a tornado-producing supercell while lower concentrations are lower odds but the atmosphere still supports tornadic storms.

 

[SD]

I don’t know that it will help but I know for certain it doesn’t hurt

It's going to be irrelevant for probably 90% of the folks wedged right now tbh. Other factors will be more limiting for us wrt severe

 

[Makeitsnow]

Real Time Lightning Map

See lightning strikes in real time across the planet. Free access to maps of former thunderstorms. By Blitzortung.org and contributors.

www.lightningmaps.org

The amount of lightning has been impressive...hundreds of strikes per minute.

Blitzortung.org - Live Lightning Map

See lightning strikes in realtime nearby your area. Get free online access to maps of former and current thunderstorms. A contribution by Blitzortung.org and contributors.

map.blitzortung.org

 

[tractor girl]

Skies in Athens, GA at 10am
Temperature: 64F
Dewpoint: 56F

 

[stboo6]

Alexandria AL / temp 69

 

[Showmeyourtds]

High thick grey clouds in the Crabapple/Roswell area. PWS back at the house in the Flat is reporting 62

 

[Darklordsuperstorm]

Game on

 

[EastmanGAWX]

Dodge County, Georgia
Current temp: 68, we are predicted to push close to the mid 80’s today.

 

[SD]

50

 

[JHS]

Yeah the wedge is holding pretty well right now, but there’s some SW winds coming in later. Also you have to wonder if some stuff might try to fire early along the wedge boundary as it starts lifting north

We want this boundary to either go farther southwest or retreat northeast. If you are north of it, it'll help but you do NOT want to be just south of it. Southeast Charlotte in March 2012 will tell you why.

 

[jrips27]

 

[BIG FROSTY]

Thick cloud cover and a cool 52

 

[Mahomeless]

Supercell characteristics starting to form in storms along the Mississippi River. As this linear convection moves north, expect to see a very drastic change in storm mode as the LLJ kicks in.....stay tuned!

 

[Snowflowxxl]

Models are trending more linear. Could definitely diminish the threat.

 

[Arcc]

Models are trending more linear. Could definitely diminish the threat.

Yep. Definitely be wary as the CAMs can overdo this in the short range. Wouldn't be shocking though considering the SW-SSW winds at 500mb.

 

[Twister]

Models are trending more linear. Could definitely diminish the threat.

What do you mean by linear, and what affect could that have on the upstate?

 

[Arcc]

Sun out and SE winds howling. Probably gonna see some DP mixing in the short term across Central and east AL.

 

[Belle Lechat]

950 AM CDT SAT MAR 15 2025

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL EAST CARROLL PARISH IN NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...
SOUTHEASTERN WEST CARROLL PARISH IN NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...
SOUTH CENTRAL WASHINGTON COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHWESTERN ISSAQUENA COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHWESTERN SHARKEY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...

 

[jrips27]

 

[Mahomeless]

Models are trending more linear. Could definitely diminish the threat.

Not even close to the truth....borderline trolling at this point.

 

[hartdp4]

Sun is shining in ATL. Don’t love it.

 

[NWTENN]

Not even close to the truth....borderline trolling at this point.

Not even close to a "diminished" threat.

 

[NWTENN]

63 / 60 in Florence AL. Atmosphere not *quite* as volatile here.... yet.

 

[Darklordsuperstorm]

You often hear people say that animals can sense things and know something is coming. One of my dogs has been pacing back and forth through the whole house today. Very atypical behavior for her.

 

[jrips27]

Already a tornado emergency in MS

 

[Arcc]

Sun is shining in ATL. Don’t love it.

You should. The more sunshine east of BHM the better. Now west of there isn't good.

 

[jrips27]

Ugh

 

[jrips27]

About as chilling of a mesoscale disco as you can get

 

[cyclogent]

OOF, that low level cloud clearing pattern in west central AL just put a pit in my stomach. You can see it tilting on the timelapse. Sheer on steroids.

GOES-East - Sector view: Southeast - GeoColor - NOAA / NESDIS / STAR

Near real-time publication of GOES-East and GOES-West images from NOAA/NESDIS/STAR

www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov

 

[NWTENN]

OOF, that low level cloud clearing pattern in west central AL just put a pit in my stomach. You can see it tilting on the timelapse. Sheer on steroids.

GOES-East - Sector view: Southeast - GeoColor - NOAA / NESDIS / STAR

Near real-time publication of GOES-East and GOES-West images from NOAA/NESDIS/STAR

www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov

View attachment 171813That is an unbelievable visible. And, a great learning/teaching tool to show someone what helicity "looks" like. I'm showing it to my kids.

 

[Detective WX]

Currently sunny out. Was cloudy when I went for a walk earlier that morning...Now it's windy from the south. Yeah, I think you can see where this is going.

 

[Mahomeless]

Incredible warm sector developing across MS and rapidly pushing east across AL.

 

[jrips27]

Atlanta and Birmingham both up to 70 degrees

 

[campamy]

Gorgeous warm and windy morning in Gulf Shores. Double red flag- looking like the Atlantic out there.

 

[jrips27]

 

[Arcc]

Really good trend for AL in the short term. The more the dps mix down the more time it takes to moisten back up.

 

[jrips27]

 

[Psalm 148:8]

Models are trending more linear. Could definitely diminish the threat.

Met in TWC .. not that I have them in highest regards.. but do respect them.. shows what appears to be more linear with I’m sure probable tornadoes in the line possible as it crosses from east AL into GA just after midnight to 2 am.. praying this is the case! Stupid me. Went to work yesterday and left my refrigerator door cracked.. lost all my food!!!! Ugh!!!! But not replacing it today.. it’d be my luck we lost power again in storm’s tonight.. so I’ll wait to tomorrow.. geez.

 

[Mahomeless]

The continuing flow of bad news grows as SBCAPE continues to increase and scream east across AL...

 

[jrips27]

95%+ tornado probs and significant tornado probs on the new watch