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Tropical Major Hurricane Milton
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Belle Lechat
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- Aug 29, 2021
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Mason Dixon
Member
Northern eyewall into Tampa Bay.
Did look ever so slightly south of 18z
Nailbiter to the end for Tampa/St. Pete. The wobbles will be the difference
A little bit of good news. The GFS punches in the drier air into the core earlier than its recent runs.
NOT SURE HOW TO TAKE THIS..
FROM THE 10 PM DISCUSSION FROM THE NHC.. REF THE HIGHLIGHTED AREA
FROM THE 10 PM DISCUSSION FROM THE NHC.. REF THE HIGHLIGHTED AREA
HDGator
Member
Not seeing that march down the coast as we've seen with the early adjusted models today. Both the Icon and GFS have held ground on Tampa Bay. The all clear calls for Tampa appear to be premature. We'll see what the Euro brings.
Looked a tic north to me. The next frame after landfall had a bit more latitude. In any case, it's north of the pasta suite.
jeremyt
Member
That would be great but I don't see it downgrading to a 2 at landfall. I hope im wrong and if so Ill be you dinner/supper!
Yeah, splitting hairs for sure. Interested to see the GEFS and then Euro
i'm unsure if it's gaining enough latitude right now to support this track
They aren't going down with the tracker track this go-round.
I don't either. I'm just pointing out this is the first run in some time that the GFS dried out the southern half of the circulation at landfall.
jeremyt
Member
Understood!
Definitely can see the shear north of the system on WV and IR.
I agree with you. Needs to be moving almost Northeast according to that and on satellite it sure looks like ENE
Belle Lechat
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