• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Tropical Major Hurricane Milton

this is just my personal opinion but none of these models have done a good job as far as strength goes. This thing has really blown most out of them out of the water and has been stronger than even the lowest hurricane models. There will be weakening on approach but I think we are really underestimating just how strong and resilient this thing is going to be to dry air and shear.
 
iGRXY said:
this is just my personal opinion but none of these models have done a good job as far as strength goes. This thing has really blown most out of them out of the water and has been stronger than even the lowest hurricane models. There will be weakening on approach but I think we are really underestimating just how strong and resilient this thing is going to be to dry air and shear.
Click to expand...
Yeah don’t see this thing getting hurt to much by little dry air on its approach towards Florida …. Waters are like bath water also ,easily seeing a 140. 145 mph type cane at Landfall
 
1728432291224.png


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.0N 86.9W
ABOUT 280 MI...450 KM WSW OF THE DRY TORTUGAS
ABOUT 440 MI...710 KM SW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...165 MPH...270 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...902 MB...26.64 INCHES
 
FortMillSCWx said:
I consider myself a reasonably intelligent person, but still trying to figure out ACE and this helped ...not! :) "The ACE index is calculated using the formula ACE = 10-4Σv2, where v is the estimated sustained maximum wind speed in knots. The resulting figure is divided by 10,000 to make it more manageable"
Click to expand...

Here are some round guidelines you can go by that are based on that formula:

ACE per 24 hrs
-TD: 0
-TS: 0.5-1.5
-Cat 1: 1.5-2.5
-Cat 2: 2.5-3.5
-Cat 3: 4-5
-Cat 4: 5.5-7
-Cat 5: 8+
 
float14latest.gif



dog-wind.gif
 
I know it's throwing flags, but you don't see this every day.
Each reading is 30 seconds apart.

001700 2303N 08702W 7508 02258 9722 +159 +173 354093 096 /// /// 05
001730 2303N 08700W 7514 02210 9678 +157 +174 354101 104 /// /// 05
001800 2304N 08658W 7511 02155 9605 +166 +177 356110 114 /// /// 05
001830 2304N 08656W 7511 02073 9514 +169 +184 354119 122 /// /// 05
001900 2304N 08654W 7500 01946 9369 +172 +193 347116 125 /// /// 05
001930 2304N 08652W 7504 01805 9210 +205 +198 348077 103 /// /// 05
002000 2304N 08650W 7516 01730 9115 +254 +199 347028 057 /// /// 03
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top