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Tropical Major Hurricane Michael

Yea BHS1975 I've been thinking about this theme a lot past couple of weeks. Sitting here waiting for Fall to arrive and the past couple of months at 5H in our corner of the world the flow is stagnant and not progressive at all. We can thank the Ridge configuration in the Atlantic for bottle necking everything up. It is locked in and somewhat worrisome seeing the SER in particular firmly entrenched and no signs of loosing its grip. I want be the least bit surprised if we do get a tropical entity to spin up, crawl around the Gulf coast line for a few days. Usually this time of year anything that forms in the GOM gets picked up by a front and is off to the races pole ward. But like Florence and our other most recent named storms, the pole ward pipeline is clogged up.
 
12z models are off and the ICON stalls it out in the GOM.... seems to be the trend. Better than stalling it out over land

edit: Should add, through the end of it's run (180 hrs) stalls from Wednesday through Saturday
 
Wow GFS more robust with development this run...
Yep. Finally caught onto what the other models have been showing.
gfs_mslp_wind_watl_20.png
 
Yeah ... now lets actually get a storm and if and when, then there will be some focused point of reference; until then, it is basically model cartoons ...
 
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