Tropical Major Hurricane Michael

[Brick Tamland]

Unless they think is going to be fully extratropical by then, probably wouldn't be a bad idea to extend the TS warnings further inland over NC because there's a ton of complacency. Unfortunately, the NW side won't be utterly devoid of strong, storm-relative winds like Florence.

But the local mets said this won't be nearly as bad as Florence here.

 

[snowlover91]

The Euro initializes this way too weak at 961mb but here is the wind map based off that.

 

[Snowfan]

A Toucans in Mexico Beach has been destroyed.

 

[Arcc]

The man who chased Patricia and Haiyan

View attachment 6918

Just for reference, Callaway is near Panama City on the west side of the eyewall.

 

[packfan98]

Here's the latest Euro track.

 

[ncskywarn]

But the local mets said this won't be nearly as bad as Florence here.

Rainfall wise it won't be because of how fast it's moving.

 

[Metwannabe]

We can argue Cat 4 or Cat later when they do post storm analysis, please and thanks.

I mean had you rather get hit with a ton of bricks or a ton of feathers? just sayin

 

[Snownut]

Unless they think is going to be fully extratropical by then, probably wouldn't be a bad idea to extend the TS warnings further inland over NC because there's a ton of complacency. Unfortunately, the NW side won't be utterly devoid of strong, storm-relative winds like Florence.

Same goes for the other counties in upstate sc that's not under it.

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk

 

[Brick Tamland]

Rainfall wise it won't be because of how fast it's moving.

Yes, but they failed to mention the wind could be worse.

 

[Metwannabe]

The Euro initializes this way too weak at 961mb but here is the wind map based off that.

Those numbers steadily increasing with each run.... as brick pointed out local mets saying "this isn't Florence" is dumb approach imo.

 

[Metwannabe]

Here's the latest Euro track.

Significant jump north I believe, until you get in NC almost same there due to the eastward movement

 

[Metwannabe]

And just like that the entire eye is inland, it's moving...

 

[Arcc]

The next bad thing is as with Harvey, it's come in strengthening, it take a few hours to feel the land and with the speed it will make some ground. Serious concern for GA for those in mobile homes.

 

[Brent]

And just like that the entire eye is inland, it's moving...

Its like the anti-Florence

But those winds are gonna spread inland way more

 

[Brick Tamland]

Storm chaser showing a crane swaying around.

https://www.severestudios.com/storm-chasers/john.humphress.html

 

[Yellow Snow]

Gov. Deal just added additional counties to the existing State of Emergency:

 

[Webberweather53]

Hopefully for everyone's sake this storm isn't all that bad. We need to closely watch the evolution of the precipitation shield and sfc wind verification upstream, won't take much to make things go downhill more than expected in areas like RDU & Charlotte as well as those close to the I-95 corridor.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

At this point upgrading to a Cat5 may be able to help those further inland. Not sure it makes much of a difference for those on the coast directly in its path

 

[Arcc]

Reading the last VDM had SFMR of 138knts. Do they use possible contaminated readings in the VDM?

 

[packfan98]

Hopefully for everyone's sake this storm isn't all that bad. We need to closely watch the evolution of the precipitation shield and sfc wind verification upstream, won't take much to make things go downhill more than expected in areas like RDU & Charlotte as well as those close to the I-95 corridor.