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Tropical Major Hurricane Michael

3163e32f36093e07f6a957f4b6dc869450eb1682ece1a94488eee8afbdb78b05.png
looks west
 
Looking at the projected hydrographs out of RAH for NC, it looks like pretty much every major river ends up in at least minor flood stage again. That end of September lull couldn't have been more perfectly timed following Florence.

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**STEERING MAP UPDATE**
We are going to compare the 00z and 03z Steering maps. I will post the old (0z) vs new(3z).....hint hint....the trof is having a hard time cutting into that western edge of the ridge so far** I know that will change soon though.
OLD 00Z RUN
wg8dlm5-1.GIF

NEW 03Z run
wg8dlm5.GIF
 
snowlover91 said:
HWRF gets this down to 925mb by landfall and HMON has it at 928mb.
Click to expand...

Both strongest landfalls yet. HMON is an insane 165knts at 850mb which probably be higher than that 135knts it has at the surface. First Cat 5 hit ive seen.

Sheash HWRF is 163knts at 850mb right before landfall. Possibly both models showing a Cat 5 hit.
 
deltadog03 said:
**STEERING MAP UPDATE**
We are going to compare the 00z and 03z Steering maps. I will post the old (0z) vs new(3z).....hint hint....the trof is having a hard time cutting into that western edge of the ridge so far** I know that will change soon though.
OLD 00Z RUN
View attachment 6881

NEW 03Z run
View attachment 6882
Click to expand...
So would that support NNW/N little longer?
 
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