snowlover91
Member
I see signs of the storm about to make a turn to the NNE soon. Clouds to the north are starting to shift that way.
I don't know how to quote and such guys, so bear with me...but the guidance map shows a pink line going through alabama...I haven't previously seen that. Did I miss it on priors or is that new as a result of the system to the west not coming as quick?
That’s just a random track of a model run, and is very much an outlier, I would disregard that pink lineI don't know how to quote and such guys, so bear with me...but the guidance map shows a pink line going through alabama...I haven't previously seen that. Did I miss it on priors or is that new as a result of the system to the west not coming as quick?
That’s just a random track of a model run, and is very much an outlier, I would disregard that pink line
Little explanation about that group of models.... basically based on trajectory and climo, not very reliable and depending on the site you pull the track guidance map it will not be included due to it not being skillful with track. I'd ignore itI don't know how to quote and such guys, so bear with me...but the guidance map shows a pink line going through alabama...I haven't previously seen that. Did I miss it on priors or is that new as a result of the system to the west not coming as quick?
That tropical storm probabilities wind map, has a VERY tight gradient near ATL!! I mean 90% probabilities look to be only 25-50 miles from the southern burbs , Atleast!! Any slight shift NW, will have big implications!!
Map plzThat tropical storm probabilities wind map, has a VERY tight gradient near ATL!! I mean 90% probabilities look to be only 25-50 miles from the southern burbs , Atleast!! Any slight shift NW, will have big implications!!
The TCLP (pink line) is basically a climo model. Here’s a link to more info on it and other models. It’s basically useless in this setup.What would have to happen for that pink line (model to verify) a complete stall on the front and a super ridge building back in? lol
just one model that is very much an outlierI don't know how to quote and such guys, so bear with me...but the guidance map shows a pink line going through alabama...I haven't previously seen that. Did I miss it on priors or is that new as a result of the system to the west not coming as quick?
Mean looks to be around southern Newberry county :weenie:That is a sizeable shitft NW ! Wow! And you know I’m watching!!
It’s probably underestimating the strength of the wedge?!:weenie:Mean looks to be around southern Newberry county :weenie:
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