beanskip
Member
Latest recon pass -- so much for leveling off -- 951.6 extrap?????
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Tropical Major Hurricane Isaias
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
NOAA low pressure bias. Dropsonde should be come in the next half hour.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
With that storm activity blowing up and an ERC complete, it's definitely holding in there despite all the shear.
128 kt flight level wind found via Cyclonicwx.com
Noteworthy
Will be a nice test of the REFS. It isn't too different from the current HREF so I imagine it'll perform fairly well
That's not a good sign for ATL and other parts of GA
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Eyewall looks more symmetrical this pass
There's a user on a Roblox Wx Discord server who is stationed at Elgin Air Force Base and he was notified to be prepared for a high-end C3/low-end C4 landfall.
Are you saying that Roblox, that online game one of my granddaughters is addicted to, has its own weather server? That would give me more incentive to play the next time she begs me to play with her.
I’m almost to Crestview
There are weather games on Roblox. The 3 biggest games are TornadoX, Helicity and Twisted
Wow! You learn something new every day. That might stop me from looking for excuses to avoid playing Roblox with her.
Nasty couplet moving towards onshore 
beanskip
Member
Yeah but that's 5 mb lower than last pass from same aircraft.
Shear definitely beginning to hit the structure now. You can see the higher, colder cloud tops beginning to be pushed NW over the center.
Don’t know if it has enough time to matter
I think it will some, but still probably looking at 105-110mph at absolute landfall which probably means that nasty eyewall gets on shore an hour or two before.
BKWRN29
Member
Does anyone have an updated max wind gust map for Alabama? James Spann showed one this morning but I was curious if a new one was out yet.
Shaggy
Member
IR looks suspiciously like the centers may not be perfectly stacked anymore
BufordWX
Member
18z HRRR had some big rain totals over the W Carolinas.
The northern eyewall will be near or on the coast in 3-4 hours. Time is rapidly running out for substantive weakening.
Brent
Member
I don't think the flooding threat in the mountains can be overstated
Remember Helene. Nobody really talks about the coast
Downeastnc
Member
Last recon drop in SE eyewall had 64knts at the surface so its losing some strength especially on the east side ironically.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
This one's for me, hah (and dad):
Definite half a cane type look with the speed now, but it doesn't mean that it can't pack a punch and cause problems elsewhere, like flooding.
Definite half a cane type look with the speed now, but it doesn't mean that it can't pack a punch and cause problems elsewhere, like flooding.