Tonight:
Conditions will rapidly deteriorate tonight. Widespread
precipitation will be present by early evening, with the
strongest winds occurring during the evening hours across the
southern half of the area. The peak wind impacts will materialize
after landfall and continue into Saturday morning. The sustained
tropical storm force wind probabilities may be conservative given
the pressure gradient with high pressure to the east, and do not
fully reflect the potential for damaging wind gusts. An
inversion/stable layer will remain in place north of a warm front
closer to the coast, though forecast soundings continue to
indicate significant winds near the surface. Highest sustained
winds are expected across southern counties, with higher wind
gusts of 50 to 60+ mph extending further north. Given the
anticipated impacts of widespread downed trees and power outages,
wind-related have been issued. With the transition to an extratropical
system, determining the exact boundary to transition from tropical
to non-tropical wind products remains challenging. Generally, I-20
in the east and I-22 serve as the approximate cutoff between
tropical storm and high wind warnings. There is a possibility
after the system loses its tropical status, additional wind
advisories may be needed.