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Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 2)

power - on for a few, off for many, on again now -- quick look - and I may be 1000% wrong -- she looks a bit weaker coming north than progged ... ????
 
so when is this west motion starting?

Funny we couldn't stop the west trend and now it refuses to move west :p
 
Brent said:
so when is this west motion starting?

Funny we couldn't stop the west trend and now it refuses to move west :p
Click to expand...
Don't mention the west trend around here. The euro and NHC said it's gonna happen and by gosh that's the gospel. It was supposed to have already happened. 0Z short range models NAM and RGEM will be interesting
 
Mobile bay
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Well latest HRRR shows about another hour or so of N movement then NW and picks up some speed
but then again nothing but really on target either from Cuba on...
 
So any thoughts on it getting it's act together any once if it gets back into the bend in the Gulf some atleast gaining some steam back
 
I really am thinking it's going to stay over Florida. The HRRR back many runs ago had it riding the coast .. and then subsequent runs kept keeping it away from the water and more eastward run after run. The NAM is the furthest East.. but the GFS does it too.

Either way, if it stays over land, and never gets to the true "big bend" area... that means differences further upstream for places like AL, GA, SC and likely into NC. We'll see.
 
Looks like it's moving NNE, probably just a wobble
 
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