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Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)

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compared to the 12z run...I don't usually compare a whole lot the 6 and 18z runs because we have fresh data on the 00z and 12z runs
but its WEST of the 12z run, and 14mb stronger than the 12z run *00z run is stronger**
 
I'd figured Irma will go on the east or west side of FL. It's very rare for a hurricane to literally go straight up the middle of FL.

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Even better way to view GOES-16 with 1 minute slices and you can set your time back hours or days if you want to. I have a gigabit fiber connection so I don't mind, but if you load 200 frames just know it may a take awhile unless you have a really fast connection.

http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate....1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&s=rammb-slider

Nonetheless, putting on lat/long and watching Irma back to about 5-6 hours ago -- she has wobbled here and there but has more or less gone due West in that time. It did look like she started moving NW as I alluded to earlier, but her eye has continued to just get smaller and tighter. Next hour or three should really provide a lot of clarification. In fact, I think her movement over the next 6 hours may give a lot of clarity. If she starts getting a Northward movement then we know to adjust the model tracks from there.
 
final evolution does not seem far off from 12z gfs with track, winds, placement in GA.
 
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