The truth is not much. It would be hard to mess up the core on a mostly flat island. The SE tip of Cuba can mess up a core as can Haiti, but it would have to sit a long time to do harm on this part of Cuba.
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)
- Thread starter Snowfan
- Start date
- Status
The truth is not much. It would be hard to mess up the core on a mostly flat island. The SE tip of Cuba can mess up a core as can Haiti, but it would have to sit a long time to do harm on this part of Cuba.
- Joined
- Sep 4, 2017
- Messages
- 216
- Reaction score
- 260
I can't help but think the ridge steering Katia and the ULL in the Carib are altering the steering flow more than the trof and the SW atm.
Looks like it may be stalling on IR, hard to say.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Yeah, I saw that too. Meanwhile, they must really be trying to get the advisory together. Seems much later as Katia and Jose already had am update.
Brent
Member
this advisory is taking forever
Brent
Member
...IRMA MAKING LANDFALL ON THE CAMAGUEY ARCHIPELAGO OF CUBA AS A CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE...
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Just issued, back to a 5 as expected. 160.
Irma now a cat 5. How did it strengthen over land ?
ForsythSnow
Moderator
New advisory hits Fort Meyers head on.
Brent
Member
they're islands not really land. Recon supported Cat 5 2 1/2 hours ago too
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Irma is one tough broad.
Is the area of Cuba it's over a very populated area ?
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Even though they are ialands, there is still a lot of land interaction. I think the answer is Irma is pulling the hottest moisture around from South of Cuba and where she is at this moment.
- Joined
- Sep 4, 2017
- Messages
- 216
- Reaction score
- 260
That NHC disscussion says it all. You can almost hear the frustration lol
Definitely has slowed down on IR, maybe slight bump NW. Wouldn't surprise me, strong hurricanes love to bounce around the islands.
Storm5
Member
Whos got the updated advisory map?
Sent from my SM-J320VPP using Tapatalk
Sent from my SM-J320VPP using Tapatalk
Stormlover
Member
bud006
Member
My goodness, back to a Cat 5, looks like track has walked a bit west (I admit, I just Googled the coordinates from the Forecast Disco ... Tifton to Huntsville?).
Puts Atlanta metro even more on the right side of the circulation.
Puts Atlanta metro even more on the right side of the circulation.
Brent
Member
almost parallels to Tampa yikes
Apparently the ridge to the north of Irma has been stronger than
expected, and the initial motion remains westward, or 280/11 kt.
The track guidance continues to insist on Irma turning
west-northwestward soon, moving along the Cuban Keys adjacent to
the north coast of Cuba during the next 24 hours. After that time,
Irma is expected to turn sharply north-northwestward and accelerate
after 48 hours, moving parallel to the west coast of Florida and
then into Georgia. Mainly because Irma's eye has not deviated from
its westward motion, the new NHC forecast track has again shifted
slightly westward. Because of the hurricane's angle of approach to
the west coast of Florida, it is extremely difficult to pinpoint
exactly where the center might move onshore.
If the eye continues to move over the Cuban Keys and does not move
inland over the main island of Cuba, then Irma would likely not
lose much intensity during the next day or so.
Apparently the ridge to the north of Irma has been stronger than
expected, and the initial motion remains westward, or 280/11 kt.
The track guidance continues to insist on Irma turning
west-northwestward soon, moving along the Cuban Keys adjacent to
the north coast of Cuba during the next 24 hours. After that time,
Irma is expected to turn sharply north-northwestward and accelerate
after 48 hours, moving parallel to the west coast of Florida and
then into Georgia. Mainly because Irma's eye has not deviated from
its westward motion, the new NHC forecast track has again shifted
slightly westward. Because of the hurricane's angle of approach to
the west coast of Florida, it is extremely difficult to pinpoint
exactly where the center might move onshore.
If the eye continues to move over the Cuban Keys and does not move
inland over the main island of Cuba, then Irma would likely not
lose much intensity during the next day or so.
- Status