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Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)

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Jackstraw said:
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Starting to wonder if that high that is steering Katia south is having a role in the destination of Irma being further west. Looks like after the Keys, it's anywhere.
 
looks like a track into the SW coast of FL after cutting through the Keys is becoming the bullseye to me

The UKMET stays consistent going in between Naples and Everglades City, the Euro has been there, the HWRF Is going there now

I reserve the right to change my opinion if the Euro changes in an hour :p
 
Tampa is real close to the edge of being in bad shape though and can't take even a slight west shift now, Miami would miss the truly extreme winds if it came in closer to Naples and the worst winds at landfall would mostly be over the low populated Everglades

Orlando would get one heck of a hit though inland
 
Ridge is splitting up around 200mb. The Persistent TUTT thats been in NE Atlantic is shifting WSW. The main ridge is backfilling behind it. The ridge over Katia is getting a little stronger. Its not going to take much of an error in the forecast position of the SW's to spit this thing out into the Gulf, especially if it continues to gradually weaken. As a note, the lowest pressures ever recorded in the western hemisphere all occurred in the general area off of the western tip of Cuba. Once again, just my opinion.
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Here you go JHS. Your very own tropical system that has tons of rain with it :confused:. It looks like we will have quite a bit up this way, maybe even upwards of isolated 6" across Upstate SC and N GA.
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HMON froze but came back with showing East Gulf rose coastline slam into panhandle at a Cat 4 moat like and absolutely worse casee for AL and GA geez
 
I'm a man of my word if nothing else.... create your own Spann thread for all I care or use the banter thread but for the love of all hurricanes that have, are, or will ever be please stop mentioning Spann in this thread. Now if y'all want to fire me go right ahead it's been that kind of week! o_O:confused::D

And I'm not as awful as I may sound lol
 
metwannabe said:
I'm a man of my word if nothing else.... create your own Spann thread for all I care or use the banter thread but for the love of all hurricanes that have, are, or will ever be please stop mentioning Spann in this thread. Now if y'all want to fire me go right ahead it's been that kind of week! o_O:confused::D
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Fire you

Sent from my SM-J320VPP using Tapatalk
 
Flo said:
SC dodged a bullet. Glad but feel sorry for Florida.
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Going off the GFS, the wind field will expand and make it a rough day for the Midlands and Upstate. Then the tornado threat could be really bad.

Flo said:
Predictions on the Euro anyone?
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It will be very close to the UKMET at landfall point in all likehood. Might even smidge a bit East this run right up the middle of Florida, not as extreme to the West coast.



On a side note, I'd like to ask if the UKMET sniffed this very far SW idea out many days ago? I heard it was the SW most model and over did it?
 
Perhaps this will be the proverbial "straw" that pushes the gov't to fully invest in a new model solution...we need more petaflops and we need them now.
 
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