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Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)

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I mean we could still see some adjusting, but I think the far eastern GOM is the most we'll adjust to.

But it is an awful scenario, especially if the eye somehow stays off land.
 
I mean we could still see some adjusting, but I think the far eastern GOM is the most we'll adjust to.

But it is an awful scenario, especially if the eye somehow stays off land.
Geez would be awful whole west coast exposed to the strongest winds and not much to cause it to lose steam until panhandle that would then leave large portions of AL/GA exposed
 
With all due respect the loop is nothing to be concerned with, due to interaction with the ull, it's transitioning to ET and ingesting all that dry air (see below) so rainfall during the "loop" is not going to be too problematic. If it were a "traditional" tropical system at that point then it would be a different story but it will not be...
gfs_mslp_pwata_us_20.png
 
With all due respect the loop is nothing to be concerned with, due to interaction with the ull, it's transitioning to ET and ingesting all that dry air (see below) so rainfall during the "loop" is not going to be too problematic. If it were a "traditional" tropical system at that point then it would be a different story but it will not be...
gfs_mslp_pwata_us_20.png
No doubt flooding issues won't be a very big issue inland for north Georgia or Alabama

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A guy I follow on Facebook, says he still thinks there is a good chance it Landfalls at Miami and re-enters the Atlantic off the coast of C Florida and still hit Savannah/Charleston. He said some things are not being taken into account but he doesn't see it going as far west as these models keep showing. This guy doesn't hype things either, he is usually the guy that is calling out those that over hype. Hurricane Irma Facebook page is saying basically the same thing. That page is run by a guy who uses his own in house models with all kinds of programs, etc....that the Euro, GFS don't have. They both said it could go west indeed, they just aren't buying how drastic it is and are warning people in SC and GA not to let their guards down.
 
A guy I follow on Facebook, says he still thinks there is a good chance it Landfalls at Miami and re-enters the Atlantic off the coast of C Florida and still hit Savannah/Charleston. He said some things are not being taken into account but he doesn't see it going as far west as these models keep showing. This guy doesn't hype things either, he is usually the guy that is calling out those that over hype. Hurricane Irma Facebook page is saying basically the same thing. That page is run by a guy who uses his own in house models with all kinds of programs, etc....that the Euro, GFS don't have. They both said it could go west indeed, they just aren't buying how drastic it is and are warning people in SC and GA not to let their guards down.

Even if a track like this verifies, severe weather will be an issue well inland.
 
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