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Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)

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MMoore4720 said:
Well funny you mention you like when the lurkers speak. First off I am a little kid in a candy store with everyone's observations and knowledge thank you so much for the massive amount of data breakdowns.
My question.. I'll be staying in a place located in West Ga (Near Bowden) their home is at 1500' above sea level will that increase the percieved winds?
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Funny that you are staying in Bowdon, because that's the town I'm in. And i think it's closer to 1100' than 1500'. I don't think I'd worry about winds this far west unless models continue to shift west. Where are you from btw ?
 
Wobbles will vary back n forth each model run i imagine
 
Flo said:
Damn I was hoping we were safe now
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Being on the NE/right side inland areas are in trouble. Coastal areas like CHS are actually better off with that track versus us here in the Midlands.

BUT, its still a substatial impact for most of the state.
 
Now the clock is on as the inner eye is quickly deteriorating on IR. How long does it take to reorganize the inner core. Does it happen in six to twelve hours or twenty four hours. This is pretty much wherespect landfall intensity will be determined.
 
Shawn said:
Being on the NE/right side inland areas are in trouble. Coastal areas like CHS are actually better off with that track versus us here in the Midlands.

BUT, its still a substatial impact for most of the state.
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I know. I like the euro run. Go west baby.
 
Difference between the GFS and Euro is razor-thin when considering the impact for folks further up from the original landfall in South Florida. It makes my stomach churn to see some of these models.

Look at the GFS, and I see a potential disastrous surge into SE Georgia. Look at the Euro, and I see potential hurricane gusts where I live, 50 miles north of Atlanta.

My prayers to all. Lots of model flipping for the next 24-36 hours, then we go into nowcasting ... and millions of people will hang in the balance. Just awful all the way around. Please be safe, and please prepare for the worst as we pray for the best.

--30--
 
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