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Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)

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GaWx said:
12Z EPS hour 120: near ATL vs 0Z EPS hour 132 near Augusta consistent with westward shift Storm5 just mentioned.
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Larry, you are probably going to get some pretty scary weather down your way, whatever run you choose today!
 
If the Euro is right the whole state of Florida might have to evacuate.
 
As Larry mentioned with his super fast eps lol
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UKMET + EURO + EPS. VS GFS. This is looking a lot better for the GA/SC coasts. Finally feeling slightly better about this for mby.
 
Tarheel1 said:
Larry, you are probably going to get some pretty scary weather down your way, whatever run you choose today!
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Yes, but will it be the absolute devastation like some models have suggested at times or will it just be "pretty scary"/bad.
 
Shawn said:
UKMET + EURO + EPS. VS GFS. This is looking a lot better for the GA/SC coasts. Finally feeling slightly better about this for mby.
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Maybe for the coast but inland areas of those states would still have big issues

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Did these people not just see the Euro? If you are on the coast and that verifies you are more safe staying put.

"GA, mandatory evac. all counties East of I-95, SC evac. is voluntary now, likely mandatory 10AM Saturday for coastal counties. Colleges on the coast closing now, asking students to go home."
 
Flo said:
Did these people not just see the Euro? If you are on the coast and that verifies you are more safe staying put.

"GA, mandatory evac. all counties East of I-95, SC evac. is voluntary now, likely mandatory 10AM Saturday for coastal counties. Colleges on the coast closing now, asking students to go home."
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Problem with that is that that was one Euro run, and it's hard to say "no need to evacuate" based on a single run of a single model. They go based on what the National Hurricane Center/National Weather Service tells them, and at this point, NHC has not changed the track.
 
Bama Ravens said:
Problem with that is that that was one Euro run, and it's hard to say "no need to evacuate" based on a single run of a single model. They go based on what the National Hurricane Center/National Weather Service tells them, and at this point, NHC has not changed the track.
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Well shouldn't they tell people to give it another day to see if the models stick to this western track?
 
Storm5 said:
I just have a hard time buying into the fact that it would not feel the weakness sooner and turn North . Someone help me out. That's a massive weakness and a powerful storm . 1+2 = poleward

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Looks like gfs and especially euro moving quicker with that trof in NE. Building heights east of Irma.
 
BHS1975 said:
Wonder if the NHC is going to shift there track since they're so in love with the euro.


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They might a little bit but nothing drastic. Like you won't see it over Atlanta . Still plenty of time to slowly shift the track west or east . Let's remember , just cause there was a west trend in the 12z runs does not mean it can't trend back east . Still lots of shifts expected over the coming 24-36 hours

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Aren't the winds kind of high for the pressure ? 922 mb is the same pressure Andrew was I believe. I don't think winds were 175 mph with Andrew were they ?
 
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