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Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)

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12z GFS is much closer to the northeastern Cuban coast than 6z. There's a decent chance this run could be a tick further west. We'll see.
 
Wow! It's not just measly pieces of tree branches flying, it's literally large chunks of entire trees flying in the air and on the road like tumbleweed. I don't remember ever seeing anything like that outside of tornado videos.
I think... that video of the trees flying everywhere is video from a tornado, not Irma related. At least this is what I'm seeing on Twitter
 
GFS and Euro are in pretty good agreement with location

GFS
gfs_z500_mslp_us_11.png

Euro
ecmwf_z500_mslp_us_4.png
 
this is gonna come ashore just north of Miami it appears, WPB where it sticks out and then probably ride the coast
 
Seems like every other day it's a different trend west versus east.
 
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