Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)

[Weatherlover92]

00z HMON makes landfall just a few miles SW of Homestead, FL again.

 

[malak05]

00z HMON makes landfall just a few miles SW of Homestead, FL again.

With 180 MPH winds

 

[Cary_Snow95]

Just saw the GEFS. On the spaghetti plots the members literally go straight north. OTS members are back as well

 

[Brent]

922 mb Barbuda

wind calm

 

[Jackstraw]

Levi Cowan‏ @TropicalTidbits
At 1:54am ADT, the NOAA station at #Barbuda had sustained winds of 118 mph with gusts to 153 mph. #Irma

This graph is going into the collection when its over if the station survives....

 

[Meteorologist1999]

Just saw the GEFS. On the spaghetti plots the members literally go straight north. OTS members are back as well

Do they affect Carolinas??

 

[Weatherlover92]

Heading back out into the Atlantic/SE coast at the end of the run.

 

[Jackstraw]

Flight level 10k, 46F outside the eye 72F degrees inside, that's an impressive heat pump.

 

[StoneMtnWx]

Hwrf hits Bahamas to the west as it begins to go North East of Florida...18z GFS like, not as close to FL like 0z run

 

[BHS1975]

Apparently the 185mph winds don't make it to the surface as sustained winds.


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[Cary_Snow95]

Do they affect Carolinas??

 

[StoneMtnWx]

185mph and 914mb. Irma still moving WNW at NHC 2am update.

 

[Jackstraw]

Apparently the 185mph winds don't make it to the surface as sustained winds.

Are you referring to the observed winds at the Barbuda station?

 

[BHS1975]

Are you referring to the observed winds at the Barbuda station?

Yeah


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[Cary_Snow95]

0z Euro from last night

0z Tonight

 

[Weatherlover92]

Yeah


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I think I read from AW that one or multiple weather stations have failed/stopped reporting winds once they ramped up to cat. 3 sustained winds. If that's the case we might not be getting an accurate reading as the eye was passing overhead.

 

[GaWx]

The 0Z Euro ~100 miles NE of its 12Z run in FL Straits. More evidence of an eastward trend?

 

[Cary_Snow95]

Euro is well north of its 12z position. Storm makes no landfall in Cuba

 

[Cary_Snow95]

The 0Z Euro ~100 miles NE of its 12Z run in FL Straits. More evidence of an eastward trend?

For sure. Just about every model and ensembles so far tonight have trended east of the Florida coastline

 

[Cary_Snow95]

Yea looks like it, not as far NE as GFS but definitely an Eastward trend no doubt...we will see if it comes up the FL coast or still makes landfall in Miami area.

Early guess is it makes landfall in extreme SE Florida and then moves back into the Atlantic around Jacksonville.