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Tropical Major Hurricane Humberto

Looks like the UKIE rides up 150 miles off FL as a weak cane, then continues to ride up GA/SC coast but well off the coast while dumping pressure, ends up 150 or so miles south of ILM heading NE and misses the NC coast by a good 100-150 miles....then heads due east right towards Bermuda though a bit north of it....its already heading NE or even ENE here....

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Euro missing Florida entirely it seems also appears to run right over Abaco Island(granted its very weak there but it won't help matters with the Dorian crisis)
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Brent said:
Going OTS

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I’m not saying I think OTS is anywhere near a done deal even though the chances are obviously increasing, but wouldn’t it be amazing if a storm that less than 2 days ago was projected by most models to go well out into the Gulf were to instead stay OTS offshore the SE coast?!
 
GaWx said:
I’m not saying I think OTS is anywhere near a done deal even though the chances are obviously increasing, but wouldn’t it be amazing if a storm that less than 2 days ago was projected by most models to go well out into the Gulf were to instead stay OTS offshore the SE coast?!
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shades of Dorian almost(granted Dorian wasn't OTS but still way different than Gulf bound)
 
GaWx said:
I’m not saying I think OTS is anywhere near a done deal even though the chances are obviously increasing, but wouldn’t it be amazing if a storm that less than 2 days ago was projected by most models to go well out into the Gulf were to instead stay OTS offshore the SE coast?!
Click to expand...

I think the next interesting aspect is will the Euro create a weakness with this storm and drag the second with it like the ICON does.
 
Brent said:
shades of Dorian almost(granted Dorian wasn't OTS but still way different than Gulf bound)
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By the way, I’m not yet sure this run is OTS as a high to the north may block it and allow it to hit NC.
 
Keep in mind what was said about how had there been, when the massive E US/W ATL ridge was peaking on the models, a TC closer to the US than the wave now just off Africa that it would have been in a very dangerous position. Well, look at where 95L is in relation to that same progged ridge.
 
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