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Tropical Major Hurricane Helene

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NWS-Atlanta

7-Day Zone Forecast​

..FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON
...tropical storm warning in effect...
TONIGHT
Tropical storm conditions. East winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph, increasing to northeast 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 70 mph after midnight
FRIDAY
Tropical storm conditions expected. Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then partly sunny in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 70s. Southwest winds 45 to 55 mph with gusts up to 80 mph, becoming south and diminishing to 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain 50 percent

Those forecasted conditions presume the NHC track is correct. The HRRR (and the rest) are east of the NHC track.

I'm done with models for the remainder. Radar time.
 
NWS-Atlanta

7-Day Zone Forecast​

..FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON
...tropical storm warning in effect...
TONIGHT
Tropical storm conditions. East winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph, increasing to northeast 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 70 mph after midnight
FRIDAY
Tropical storm conditions expected. Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then partly sunny in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 70s. Southwest winds 45 to 55 mph with gusts up to 80 mph, becoming south and diminishing to 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain 50 percent

They have been playing catch-up to the East trend
 
It’s obviously still moving NNE. I think we miss the worst winds here in the Commerce/Athens area. At least I’m hopeful of that.


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It sure looks like it's tracking east of the nhc path as of now. I'm hoping to miss it too but I don't know how strong that northern eyewall will be. The good news is this won't be moving west of us it would appear.

The dry slot looks to be quickly filling in over southeast ga. Have about 6 inches so far.
 
It sure looks like it's tracking east of the nhc path as of now. I'm hoping to miss it too but I don't know how strong that northern eyewall will be. The good news is this won't be moving west of us it would appear.

The dry slot looks to be quickly filling in over southeast ga. Have about 6 inches so far.

Yea. Maybe we can miss the worst of this monster.


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It sure looks like it's tracking east of the nhc path as of now. I'm hoping to miss it too but I don't know how strong that northern eyewall will be. The good news is this won't be moving west of us it would appear.

The dry slot looks to be quickly filling in over southeast ga. Have about 6 inches so far.
If you at the path today, it’s been on the east side of the forecast all day. It’s hard to believe at this point that the NHC won’t make another adjustment east at the next advisory
 
Hunters just confirmed that screenshot I took earlier with flight level 160mph winds. Odds of it making to the ground slim, but shows still potential.
 
I'm not even going to comment......

View attachment 152075
I'm East of Lake Lanier so this looks like it will pass to my West giving me the dirty side of Helene. The NE quadrant specifically. I know there are several posters on this board located around this area too. It's been frustrating to say the least watching all the models show the center going to my East while the NHC stays rock steady on their guidance. It's going to be a long night...

I'm sure you guy are tired of this topic but it's a huge difference to some of us.
 
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
854 PM EDT THU SEP 26 2024

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF...
BRYAN COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...
CHATHAM COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...
LIBERTY COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...

* UNTIL 945 PM EDT.

* AT 854 PM EDT, A CONFIRMED WATERSPOUT WAS LOCATED OVER ST.
CATHERINES ISLAND, MOVING NORTHWEST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO.

SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED WATERSPOUT MOVING ONSHORE.

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT
WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR
DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL
OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
POOLER, RICHMOND HILL, BLOOMINGDALE, KELLER, BELFAST, FORT
MCALLISTER, SUNBURY, BURROUGHS, HALFMOON LANDING AND ST.
CATHERINES ISLAND.
 
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