Tropical Major Hurricane Helene

[chapelhillwx]

I've gotta think that even if they're on the west side, they'll at least get Hurricane gusts ? Heck way up in GA 200 miles north is forecast to get Hurricane gusts on the west side of the storm.

I think the reason why they're forecast to get hurricane force gusts is because the forecasters believe that area will be on the east side of the storm.

Neighbor across the street had a big tree fall on their house. No wind here yet at all but ground is saturated.

 

[lexxnchloe]

GaWx is going to get hit pretty good on the GA coast.

 

[Ethan80963]

 

[SuperNET]

942mb picked up. this is getting intense. 5mb drop since cat 4 designation if the reading is accurate

Shallower water - higher water temps

 

[Mahomeless]

Coming in at night is an absolute worst case scenario for the guys down there chasing…if the surge catches up with you, it’s over.

 

[lexxnchloe]

Cedar Key is going to get one hellova storm surge when the wind shifts to the SW and high tide hits late tonight

 

[Triplephase93]

They are in big trouble in cedar key

 

[ForsythSnow]

Rain is picking up still. 5.44" at 0.83"/hr. The line forecast to sit over metro ATL is beginning to set up better.

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

Latest HRRR has a 975 sitting over Franklin, NC. That’s truly wild.

 

[Henry2326]

The track is going to be important. The only semi major metro area near where its landfalling is Tallahassee (which is well inland, but will have significant wind impacts depending on the track), but it looks like they could sneak by just west of the eye depending on how things develop. That would be huge for them as it’s much weaker on the western side at this point. It’s important to note KTLH is southwest of town itself.

Valdosta GA on the border

 

[Downeastnc]

The extent its getting hurricane force gust to the surface on the east side is pretty amazing given the storm has only really existed for a day or so...still a two sided storm, gonna be a wild wide for everyone along and 100 miles east of the center as it comes in...

 

[Chazwin]

Valdosta GA on the border

I have a cousin in Valdosta who left and headed to Pensacola. They were in Panama City during Michael and wanted no part of going through that again

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

Probably about 2.4" in the rain gauge from what I'd call the pre-event. Surprised it wasn't more, was hearing about some low lying areas in Columbia County flooding earlier today.

 

[Henry2326]

I have a cousin in Valdosta who left and headed to Pensacola. They were in Panama City during Michael and wanted no part of going through that again

My folks are there. I'm from there. All week it's been the storm is going west track.....and here they are waiting on a beast.

 

[BullCityWx]

HMON seems to be right on with current pressure

 

[Chazwin]

I’m really surprised that GSP hasn’t increased storm total rainfall amounts for CLT metro. Their most recent map shows between 2-3” and most of that area has already seen 1.5-2” since this morning.

 

[Henry2326]

HMON seems to be right on with current pressure

12z was 939 for HMON and 941 for Hwrf at landfall.

 

[Downeastnc]

Seeing on Twitter that someone is flying a private aircraft around the eye of Helene...

 

[Snowfan]

Dude has guts to fly into a Cat 4.

Seeing on Twitter that someone is flying a private aircraft around the eye of Helene...

 

[Ethan80963]

I’m really surprised that GSP hasn’t increased storm total rainfall amounts for CLT metro. Their most recent map shows between 2-3” and most of that area has already seen 1.5-2” since this morning.

Im surprised about this. In Rock Hill weve had a Flash Flood Warning all day and from the tools I have I believe weve gotten about 4in already.

 

[Ethan80963]

 

[FortMillSCWx]

From Alan further east in the western piedmont:

 

[SuperNET]

Going to get a little break in the rainfall across western North Carolina , foothills and piedmont - which is a good thing.

https://radar.weather.gov/station/kcae/standard

 

[Chazwin]

Im surprised about this. In Rock Hill weve had a Flash Flood Warning all day and from the tools I have I believe weve gotten about 4in already.

Exactly. I just checked my gauge and was surprised to see it at 2.9”. It’s been raining since about 7:30am. Never anything I would call a downpour, but it’s just a steady moderate rain all day with occasionally heavier times. Kinda with these wind gust now forecast to be around 60mph later tonight and in the morning

 

[dsaur]

When I checked my hurricane only bucket a few hours ago I had 3 in there. Over 7 for the adventure so far. I've missed the heavier slugs since then.

4.25” so far today

3.08 today as of a few hours ago.

 

[Shawn]

Cross your fingers everyone.. so far it looks like the RI is slowing down.

But recon could be a bit wonky because some moron private plane decided to fly into the hurricane. No, I am not kidding.

 

[NCSNOW]

Eye wall is about 38 miles wide as the crow flies.

And the German Global has nailed this thing

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

From Alan further east in the western piedmont:

If this map is even close to being correct, FFC may want to consider downgrading the Hurricane Warnings West of I-75 in Georgia.

 

[Stevo24]

Cross your fingers everyone.. so far it looks like the RI is slowing down.

But recon could be a bit wonky because some moron private plane decided to fly into the hurricane. No, I am not kidding.

it’s not slowing down unfortunately

 

[Henry2326]

Eye wall is about 38 miles wide as the crow flies.

And the German Global has nailed this thing

Icon held steady all the way through. Did better with pressure on this one too.

 

[HugeSnowStick]

The rain over all of Ga and Atl is just intense, just a river of water straight out of the Gulf. 6.55 inches.

 

[SD]

View attachment 092624.mp4

 

[Mahomeless]

it’s not slowing down unfortunately

It definitely is slowing way down as it has ingested some drier air as clearly shown on IR.

 

[NCSNOW]

It definitely is slowing way down as it has ingested some drier air as clearly shown on IR.

Think he was talking about forward speed,not wind

 

[Downeastnc]

If this map is even close to being correct, FFC may want to consider downgrading the Hurricane Warnings West of I-75 in Georgia.

Given the reports from recon the west side even close to the center is weak, barely even cane gust almost on the center itself....they wont drop the warnings because exact track will matter but there will be places on the west side of the center that see gust 40-50 while 50 miles east on the other side might see 70-80.

 

[mydoortotheworld]

It definitely is slowing way down as it has ingested some drier air as clearly shown on IR.

You can see it on radar too. Nice big dry slot to the S, SW of the eye

 

[Snowfan]

Think he was talking about forward speed,not wind

No he was talking about the strength.

 

[Snowflowxxl]

Icon held steady all the way through. Did better with pressure on this one too.

ICON is gonna be too far East.

 

[HugeSnowStick]

TWC just said it is now bending to the left, so, mostly straight North.

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

Given the reports from recon the west side even close to the center is weak, barely even cane gust almost on the center itself....they wont drop the warnings because exact track will matter but there will be places on the west side of the center that see gust 40-50 while 50 miles east on the other side might see 70-80.

I just don't get why locations west of the forecast track well into GA are under a Hurricane Warning. There's no way on Earth i'm getting Hurricane gusts. Maybe 60 mph at the most.