Tropical Major Hurricane Helene

[Ron Burgundy]

Too many icon and HAFS A postings skew the reality all models have been coming west slowly that we're east. I'm expecting the brunt of the storm here or N GA between the training storms and the gusts as the eye approaches its going to be rough.

Worst case keeps getting worser for ATL and GA 400 corridor

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

Too many icon and HAFS A postings skew the reality all models have been coming west slowly that we're east. I'm expecting the brunt of the storm here or N GA between the training storms and the gusts as the eye approaches its going to be rough

Among other things, what's unusual about this storm is the highest rainfall totals look to be near and to the west of the track while the strongest winds will of course be on the east side.

 

[severestorm]

All I'll say is that i'm praying this isn't another Hugo. I can see power outages for weeks.

 

[Chazwin]

Obviously the 0z spaghetti plots have shifted west. However they are all still with the cone of error that the NHC has kept fairly close to the same ever since they first started issuing advisories. Another thing to keep in mind is that it has seemed the last couple years that storms have wanted to follow closer to the right side of those plots. There is still a lot of real estate for this storm to cover so I would certainly expect shifts either way

 

[NEGaweather]

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[DustinWx]

Well if I can get 50 of you to subscribe I can live stream - https://www.youtube.com/@Hurriwxhttps://www.youtube.com/@Hurriwx

Half way there. At 25. Need 25 more and you guys will have a lot of live footage and ground data

 

[NE Ga Wx]

Done

Ditto.

 

[Drscottsmith]

Done!

 

[Ron Burgundy]

Half way there. At 25. Need 25 more and you guys will have a lot of live footage and ground data

Done

 

[TerryInTucker]

Half way there. At 25. Need 25 more and you guys will have a lot of live footage and ground data

4 more.

 

[ragtop50]

4 more.

That should do it now

 

[Ethan80963]

 

[severestorm]

Tropical storm over Atlanta means power outages for weeks.

 

[severestorm]

I'm already seeing posts from my bunny groups on their evacauation plans.

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

Local news says it will still have 70 mph sustained winds when it's near me.

 

[Arcc]

I’m not real sold on a really high intensity at landfall. Cat 3 probably, but this is a perfect scenario for unforeseen shear and the huge amount of dry air in the gulf to crush the core as it approaches.

 

[Chazwin]

I’m not real sold on a really high intensity at landfall. Cat 3 probably, but this is a perfect scenario for unforeseen shear and the huge amount of dry air in the gulf to crush the core as it approaches.

There’s not a lot of dry in the Gulf right now by the looks of the water vapor image. Definitely not anywhere close to what was showing yesterday. It looks like John might have pushed some moisture into the Gulf

 

[Ron Burgundy]

Tropical storm over Atlanta means power outages for weeks.

Days, for sure. Weeks, unlikely.

 

[Arcc]

There’s not a lot of dry in the Gulf right now by the looks of the water vapor image. Definitely not anywhere close to what was showing yesterday. It looks like John might have pushed some moisture into the Gulf

Not yet, but there will be as the ULL pumps it down. If the storm keeps a strong core, it could hold the dry air out, but it could do a number on the storm if it penetrates.

 

[$alt]

Please delete this model, for good. Don't even run it until retirement date: