On
On the other hand, waiting until the final hours before landfall likely means an EWRC is less likely.
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Tropical Major Hurricane Helene
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
- Status
JimRussell
Member
959 mb, 110 mph
SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.4N 85.0W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM SW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
ABOUT 230 MI...365 KM S OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES
SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.4N 85.0W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM SW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
ABOUT 230 MI...365 KM S OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES
rburrel2
Member
I find it odd that the nhc cone of uncertainty doesn't include Toccoa, GA and every global model and all the hi-res models have the center passing through that area. What gives?
Like I get that they're gambling on a track west of Atlanta. But why not at least include atlanta/east in the cone? They're getting too cute with how tight they've made it if you ask me.
Like I get that they're gambling on a track west of Atlanta. But why not at least include atlanta/east in the cone? They're getting too cute with how tight they've made it if you ask me.
Power outages starting to go up pretty steadily now.
Here’s the site I use in case anyone wants to look too
poweroutage.us
Here’s the site I use in case anyone wants to look too
United States Power Outage Map
poweroutage.us
NCHighCountryWX
Member
- Joined
- Dec 28, 2016
- Messages
- 531
- Reaction score
- 1,461
Greg Fishel Update
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
We keep getting bursts of moderate to heavy rainfall every 30 minutes or so. Doesn’t really last long though.
tractor girl
Member
CAT 2
Until next advisory. 111 = cat 3
Really not crazy to think she gets to 130mph breaking cat 4 barrier.
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
2.50” so far.
Again for central NC, severe threat tomorrow with spin-ups is good bet
Watching the local office sit there and have to point out the NHC track being much further over to the West is fun for me to watch. I wonder what's going on in the FFC office right now, tbh.
jaymackd3
Member
whoa boy
tractor girl
Member
Two warned tornadoes in south/mid Georgia. Neither looks to be on the ground.
Yep getting it together
Indeed, the UKMET keeps getting stronger as is common since it almost always is too weak in early runs. Track is similar.
12Z:
HURRICANE HELENE ANALYSED POSITION : 24.7N 85.8W
ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL092024
LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 26.09.2024 0 24.7N 85.8W 966 59
0000UTC 27.09.2024 12 28.6N 84.2W 960 74
1200UTC 27.09.2024 24 34.5N 83.2W 976 40
0000UTC 28.09.2024 36 37.9N 86.9W 984 30
1200UTC 28.09.2024 48 37.5N 87.0W 994 23
0000UTC 29.09.2024 60 37.6N 87.2W 1001 24
1200UTC 29.09.2024 72 37.6N 87.1W 1005 22
0000UTC 30.09.2024 84 37.2N 87.2W 1009 21
1200UTC 30.09.2024 96 37.4N 87.9W 1011 14
0000UTC 01.10.2024 108 CEASED TRACKING
If it gets up to a high end 3 or into 4 territory, those could be correct.
Cat 3 120
941
WTNT64 KNHC 261825
TCUAT4
Hurricane Helene Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092024
225 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024
...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND HELENE A MAJOR HURRICANE...
The Air Force Hurricane Hunters found that the maximum sustained
winds have increased to near 120 mph (195 km/h). This makes
Helene a dangerous category 3 major hurricane. Additional
strengthening is expected before Helene makes landfall in the
Florida Big Bend this evening.
SUMMARY OF 225 PM EDT...1825 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.7N 84.9W
ABOUT 170 MI...280 KM WSW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
ABOUT 205 MI...335 KM S OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Berg/Brown
WTNT64 KNHC 261825
TCUAT4
Hurricane Helene Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092024
225 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024
...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND HELENE A MAJOR HURRICANE...
The Air Force Hurricane Hunters found that the maximum sustained
winds have increased to near 120 mph (195 km/h). This makes
Helene a dangerous category 3 major hurricane. Additional
strengthening is expected before Helene makes landfall in the
Florida Big Bend this evening.
SUMMARY OF 225 PM EDT...1825 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.7N 84.9W
ABOUT 170 MI...280 KM WSW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
ABOUT 205 MI...335 KM S OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Berg/Brown
Major
BufordWX
Member
Tornado Warnings lining up in south GA
It’s kinda surreal to be seeing the talk of comparisons to the Flood of 1916. My grandparents were children living in the mountains for that and both always had numerous stories about how high the water was
tractor girl
Member
Four tornadoes side to side, radar indicated NW of Waycross, GA heading north
jaymackd3
Member
at this rate, maybe even a tick more. Pretty crazy how it's organized in the past few hours
tractor girl
Member
Update the tornado near Braxton is on the ground:
NCSNOW
Member
The Videos of all those waterfalls in Transylvania County are gonna be a site to behold Friday. Also Snowman up in Mcdowell County /Marion area will have a story to tell no doubt. He's with VFD up there
Could the proximity of land and the shape of the coast be aiding Helene in tightening up?
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Yesterday I said 145 at Alligator point. Looking more likely now.
First rainfall has arrived here. Looking like pretty rapid strengthening is commencing. Widespread gusts into the 50s looking more likely across the upstate and southern foothills of NC. Still not sold on numerous 70 mph gusts, but if that happens, particularly with all of the rain that has fallen already, it will be an unmitigated disaster zone across a large portion of the area.
dsaur
Member
After an 1/8th inch day of drizzle, and occasional light showers, I'm in Helene rain now. The kind that piles up...like yesterday afternoons rain. If this gets like TD Alberto did back in 93, I'll need a regulator and tank to breath outside....and diving weights to slow down the side ways/backward drift, lol.
tractor girl
Member
A fifth tornado NW of Waycross GA to go along with the observed tornado! Five in a row!
Last edited:
Here she come 
New update from Levi
dsaur
Member
It's the clusters in those bands that makes dodging so iffy. Feels like a shooting gallery when one of these bands comes up. The two including Ivan were bad here that way. Like a scatter gun going off south and here they come. The weather radio going off over and over. Radar lighting up.
It was posted on the TropicalTidbit YouTube page 19 minutes ago.
- Status