• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Tropical Major Hurricane Harvey

Brick Tamland said:
Sounds like if the NAM is right the worst is yet to come for the Houston area.
Click to expand...
Yea not a good sight to see...this is into Tuesday night (06z Wednesday)
qpf_acc.us_sc.png
 
The Tropical Storm Warning has been extended from Port O'Connor
southward to Mesquite Bay and from Sargent northeastward to High
Island.

Interests elsewhere along the upper Texas coast and in southwestern
Louisiana should continue to monitor the progress of Harvey.

Rainfall totals could reach 50 inches in some locations, which would
be historic for that area.
 
Lots of dry air in the circulation so that will slow things down. I want to say it probably doesn't strengthen much, but then the other part knows Harvey doesn't play by the rules.
 
yeah I'm not very bullish on it restrengthening as of now(the center is quite broad and disorganized) but if it forms convection wrapped around the center then we might have a bigger problem
 
just when it looks like the models shift east... the 0z GFS has Harvey flooding Dallas on Friday, a foot falls just east of me, big swath right up the middle of Texas. :confused:

I'll take the Euro plz.
 
Through 4PM today, the official Houston station had received an astounding 28.41" of rainfall month to date with much more still to come!! The 28.41" was already enough to obliterate the previous record for any month on record (back to 1889), which had been the 19.21" of June, 2001 (Allison)!! Let that sink in, folks.

Edited to say "month to date"
 
Last edited:
Brent said:
yeah I'm not very bullish on it restrengthening as of now(the center is quite broad and disorganized) but if it forms convection wrapped around the center then we might have a bigger problem
Click to expand...

Looking at satellite, Im much more positive that it does not strengthen. Definitely looks more extra-tropical than tropical now. From the "cold front" to the strong flow on NW side and the overall comma shape. You can also see the increase in forward motion of the front over the gulf.

Another thing is looking at 500mb, it is much more part of a trough than a separate entity.

WhIle it's ghost will still cause problems, I tend to think Harvey as a TC is gone.

swir-animated.gif
 
Euro goes inland around the TX/LA border Wednesday at the same strength it is now, east of the Houston metro this run
 
Strength wise im not worried, rain/storms will be the big issue
 
at201709.gif
Well the path is little further east. Harvey is currently moving at 3mph very slow.
 
metwannabe said:
Houston's taking it on the chin again this morning and Harvey isn't looking like letting up.... also not sure it's moving anymore looks like it's hit a wall right at the shoreline.
Click to expand...
Its moving at 3mph very very slow. Is the reason Harvey will stay over waters for about 2 days
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top