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Tropical Major Hurricane Harvey

Landfall just sw of Houston
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Two things to watch for regarding Harvey getting back into the gulf.

One, watch to see if it can stay stacked with its mid-level center. If it does, it will start to feel the gulf long before it the center gets off shore. Expect a much better shot at re-strengthening. If mid-level center decouples, very little strengthening will occur before landfall.

Secondly, with this moving NE along the coast in the weak flow; don't be surprised to see this make it farther east than forecast. We all have seen well developed tropical systems bounce along the coast.
 
Arcc said:
Two things to watch for regarding Harvey getting back into the gulf.

One, watch to see if it can stay stacked with its mid-level center. If it does, it will start to feel the gulf long before it the center gets off shore. Expect a much better shot at re-strengthening. If mid-level center decouples, very little strengthening will occur before landfall.

Secondly, with this moving NE along the coast in the weak flow; don't be surprised to see this make it farther east than forecast. We all have seen well developed tropical systems bounce along the coast.
Click to expand...
Euro takes it close to Louisiana/Texas line. Cmc takes it further east.
 
Arcc said:
Two things to watch for regarding Harvey getting back into the gulf.

One, watch to see if it can stay stacked with its mid-level center. If it does, it will start to feel the gulf long before it the center gets off shore. Expect a much better shot at re-strengthening. If mid-level center decouples, very little strengthening will occur before landfall.

Secondly, with this moving NE along the coast in the weak flow; don't be surprised to see this make it farther east than forecast. We all have seen well developed tropical systems bounce along the coast.
Click to expand...

I'm still not sold the trough misses it but we will see. The SE ridge is gonna play a roll in that as well


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GSP has drastically cut chances of rain to almost zero , through next Friday! Says all data today showing it staying well south of our area! Can't win around here! But keeping it tropical , looks like Harvey still has an eye, even after being on land for about 16+ hours! Amazing
 
He still looks amazing for being over land all day

Looks to be drifting east he can feed off the gulf more if he keeps that up
 
So Reed Timmer is with Accuweather? I wasn't aware of that! He should have driven his TIV!
 
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