Tropical Major Hurricane Harvey

[$alt]

We have our 125mph storm on the next advisory me guesses. Not quite sure they'll do cat 4

 

[SD]

Damn

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[ForsythSnow]

Much scarier looking drop from the NE Eyewall... 134 knots is 3 knots shy of a Cat 5. Not too far up either.

 

[$alt]

Holy sh** it is going to go cat 4 with these new dropsonde reports.

 

[Storm5]

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[Tarheel1]

Damn

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It's like one big tornado!! Very scary! As others have said, a lot of these poor people have a clue as to what they are about to experience!
I suspect death toll will be over 100, atleast!

 

[Storm5]

How do you do that?

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Use the inspector tool and super-res velocity tilt 1


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[Snowfan]

Wow.

 

[whatalife]

Holy sh** it is going to go cat 4 with these new dropsonde reports.

That's something else.


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[Arcc]

Much scarier looking drop from the NE Eyewall... 134 knots is 3 knots shy of a Cat 5. Not too far up either.

Yeah not far at all. Neither is that 120kt reading.

 

[Metwannabe]

Use the inspector tool and super-res velocity tilt 1


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I just figured it, go figure a guy on pain meds would have to show me

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[Metwannabe]

This is just unbelievable.... gonna be devastating

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[ForsythSnow]

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Yikes. It's going to make a run for a strong 4. HMON, you may win. And we all laughed at that and the NAM for being too strong. the NAM 3km WINDS, not pressure, was a reasonable estimate already. It maxed at 117 one run.

 

[ForsythSnow]

TWC was saying that the last storm like this was over 40 years ago, so not many know a storm of this strength there, but nothing seems to compare to Harvey.

 

[Snowfan]

Harvey may be the strongest storm to hit Texas ever.

 

[$alt]

TWC was saying that the last storm like this was over 40 years ago, so not many know a storm of this strength there, but nothing seems to compare to Harvey.

It was 47 years ago in this area for Texas of a Cat 3. It zipped in, did a ton of damage, and zipped out. Harvey is going to be like that one relative you dislike that won't leave after the holidays are over as a potential cat 4 at landfall, then a TS and potential second landfall through next week.

 

[Weatherlover92]

I'm looking at a live stream of TWC on Youtube and it's quickly going downhill in Corpus Christi right now.

 

[EastAtlwx]

Bring it!

 

[ForsythSnow]

Scary to think this will still be a strong cat 1 a day from today, and remain a TS for days to come.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 25/2100Z 27.5N 96.5W 110 KT 125 MPH
12H 26/0600Z 28.2N 97.0W 100 KT 115 MPH...INLAND
24H 26/1800Z 28.8N 97.5W 75 KT 85 MPH...INLAND
36H 27/0600Z 28.9N 97.8W 60 KT 70 MPH...INLAND
48H 27/1800Z 28.6N 97.8W 50 KT 60 MPH...INLAND
72H 28/1800Z 28.1N 96.9W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND
96H 29/1800Z 28.5N 96.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...OVER WATER
120H 30/1800Z 29.5N 95.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND

 

[ForsythSnow]

After the last drop I posted (Drop 13), the plane flew around, did drop 14, then 15. Here is 15. The 135 knot winds became 136 knots, and dropped from 910 mb to 929 mb heights. Looks like mixing down to me.