Tropical Major Hurricane Grace

[Wild Weather Monger]

Grace is looking rather frisky this AM. Would a much stronger than anticipated storm taking advantage of this 24-36 hour window of favorable conditions lead to a track just north of Shederolla to where if not weakened by the landmasses it's able to fight off the predicted shear on the approach to the US? Hmm.

 

[Henry2326]

 

[BHS1975]

HWRF went way north.


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[Shaggy]

Grace sustaining a small but strong cluster over the center now. If she would slow down 5kts she might really have a chance to strengthen more before the islands. That fast forward speed though!!

 

[Brent]

This looks better than Fred ever did

 

[Snowfan]

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Grace Advisory Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072021
1100 AM AST Sat Aug 14 2021

...GRACE A LITTLE STRONGER...
...CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS LATER
TODAY AND TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.2N 57.9W
ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM ESE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES

Grace up to 45 MPH.

 

[Snowfan]

?

 

[Shaggy]

?

Southwest turn into southern Texas. Wow.

 

[Shaggy]

Seems the gefs favors a north central gulf strike

 

[Henry2326]

 

[Henry2326]

 

[Brent]

It's definitely got a shot to be a significant threat if it can just avoid Hispaniola

 

[Henry2326]

It's definitely got a shot to be a significant threat if it can just avoid Hispaniola

Euro shredded it.

 

[Henry2326]

NHC going with the majority.

 

[Brent]

Meanwhile recon did 2 passes and really didn't find a center so there's that ?

One impressive looking wave lol

 

[NCSNOW]

Massive quake just hit Haiti. They say way many more dead 29 so far. And here comes this storm.

7.2 magnitude earthquake hits Haiti; at least 29 killed

 

[Brent]

Could have fooled me with the open wave stuff lol

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

Just a "touch" of uncertainty in the extended range...

 

[Brent]

 

[Snowfan]

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Grace Advisory Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072021
500 PM AST Sat Aug 14 2021

...SQUALLY WEATHER FROM GRACE SPREADING ACROSS THE LESSER
ANTILLES...
...HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE LESSER AND GREATER ANTILLES WILL BE A
CONCERN IN THE COMING DAYS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.9N 60.7W
ABOUT 55 MI...85 KM ESE OF GUADELOUPE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 26 MPH...43 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES

Storm a bit weaker and going a bit faster.