Tropical Major Hurricane Grace

[Shaggy]

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Hwrf is the dgex of hurricane models.

 

[Brent]

If it can avoid Hispaniola this is actually a pretty interesting track. I definitely wouldn't write it off as another Fred although of course it's possible

 

[Snowfan]

If it can avoid Hispaniola this is actually a pretty interesting track. I definitely wouldn't write it off as another Fred although of course it's possibleView attachment 88158

I wouldn't be surprised if the NHC shifts the path a bit further north at 11 PM since TVCN went up north.

 

[Snowfan]

As expected. A shift north. No longer hitting the mountains.

 

[Brent]

CMC missing the islands through the Florida Straits and into New Orleans

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

HWRF says she’s a CAT 2 in two days

 

[Brent]

HWRF says she’s a CAT 2 in two daysView attachment 88168

However it runs over Hispaniola later

 

[Downeastnc]

Potential landfall track close to the AL/FL border on the 5am advisory. View attachment 88169

Wrong storm......this is the Grace thread

 

[Weatherlover92]

Wrong storm......this is the Grace thread

My bad, I had both the Fred/Grace threads open at the same time. I didn’t even realize I posted it in the wrong thread.??‍

 

[DadOfJax]

Shredder city

 

[accu35]

Shredder city

We hope so, lol.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Okay maybe the hrrr was on to something

 

[Henry2326]

 

[Henry2326]

 

[Chazwin]

I really question whether this is gonna over Hispaniola. This is coming in stronger and better organized than Fred which invites a more northerly track to start with. Also the ridge to the north isn’t as strong. The NHC is already trending a tad north with in its forecast track.

 

[iGRXY]

It’s going to miss the mountains. If anything it’ll be close enough to use them as builder and help strengthen the storm without actually going over those mountains.

 

[Henry2326]

06z GFS......hit west side FL, goes across FL and up the east coast.

 

[Chazwin]

It’s going to miss the mountains. If anything it’ll be close enough to use them as builder and help strengthen the storm without actually going over those mountains.

I was just about to add about this to my earlier comment. The forecast track right now has shifted to going just across the northern edge of the island. If it were to stay just north of there, the proximity of the mountains would actually help enhance thunderstorm development.

 

[BHS1975]

I was just about to add about this to my earlier comment. The forecast track right now has shifted to going just across the northern edge of the island. If it were to stay just north of there, the proximity of the mountains would actually help enhance thunderstorm development.

Maybe but she has a small circulation so that would help her squeeze by instead.


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[LickWx]

Yay I can post again! Trends look better for it to miss the islands , which will help favor a more northerly and easterly track .