Tropical Major Hurricane Delta

[PEA_RIDGE]

0400 UPDATE

 

[PEA_RIDGE]

LOOKS LIKE A GOOD BIT OF CIRCULATION HERE ON THE LATEST IR SATS

 

[Ollie Williams]

Delta now

 

[Shaggy]

Looking right to explode

 

[Snowfan]

000
WTNT31 KNHC 051452
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Delta Advisory Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL262020
1100 AM EDT Mon Oct 05 2020

...DELTA STRENGTHENING OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON TUESDAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.4N 78.6W
ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM S OF NEGRIL JAMAICA
ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM SE OF GRAND CAYMAN
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES

 

[ForsythSnow]

Looking right to explode

It looks really good and has some good storms around the center. Probably will be a hurricane by tomorrow if it keeps up.

 

[superjames1992]

Louisiana is a magnet for tropical systems this year.

 

[Ryan Sanders]

I sure hope this thing take a turn away from Alabama. I don't need this kind of rainfall after all the work I did over the weekend.

 

[Henry2326]

 

[deltadog03]

As of now I would favor near mobile. These like to hook NE this time of the year. Heck wouldn't be surprised if it came in east of there as well

 

[Henry2326]

 

[Henry2326]

12z GFS
12z Icon

 

[Henry2326]

11 am

 

[Brent]

modernweenie modernweenie modernweenie

 

[accu35]

This is another situation where models are far west towards Louisiana but will probably start correcting east before landfall. That's scary for places like Mobile to Florida panhandle.

 

[cd2play]

This is another situation where models are far west towards Louisiana but will probably start correcting east before landfall. That's scary for places like Mobile to Florida panhandle.

This is one hurricane season that can't end fast enough

 

[SD]

Really taking off now

 

[SD]

This is another situation where models are far west towards Louisiana but will probably start correcting east before landfall. That's scary for places like Mobile to Florida panhandle.

The interaction with Gamma may cause a little model fluctuation here. It'll be interesting to see how that plays out, less interaction is probably father east more interaction may be west

 

[Dawgdaze22]

Something tells me it is gonna end up further east. Just based on climo

 

[Brent]

Already 60 mph I wouldn't be surprised if it's a hurricane by this evening

...DELTA QUICKLY STRENGTHENING OVER THE CARIBBEAN...
...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT EN ROUTE TO THE STORM...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.1N 79.2W
ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM SSW OF NEGRIL JAMAICA
ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM SSE OF GRAND CAYMAN
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES