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Pattern Magnificent March

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3km NAM with a closed ULL. Good for NC. This trend can be seen in the last 3 runs of the 12km NAM. We’ll see if other suites follow suit!


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CMC showing some real late Morch heat for the deep South, while Gfs, GEFS, not so mucho... Let's see who wins. Do the Canadians ever win anything besides curling?
 
Jon said:
76348d7b9a2c1ef8d8e803648a15f395.jpg


3km NAM with a closed ULL. Good for NC. This trend can be seen in the last 3 runs of the 12km NAM. We’ll see if other suites follow suit!


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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Hope this is the start of something good and the models bring it back to where it was a couple of days ago.
 
Brick Tamland said:
Hope this is the start of something good and the models bring it back to where it was a couple of days ago.
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Likely not. Looks like the Euro has as much snow for Raleigh area as here does 0Z. If we can't get snow send it further north so DC misses out I say. Unfortunately the models are increasing for them.
 
Nam continues to be north. Looks like the good trends with blocking suppressing things south are done for the winter. Just no moisture to work with down here.
 
Well, guess it's time for things to warm up and turn to tracking severe weather.
 
Rain Cold said:
Nam continues to be north. Looks like the good trends with blocking suppressing things south are done for the winter. Just no moisture to work with down here.
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I miss the SE trend! It was great to have all winter and let SAV get more snow than RAH! Now the MA gets theirs! We are awesome!
 
For the 1st time in nearly a year, the Arctic is colder than normal. It dropped a whopping 35 F over the last 3 weeks. Moreover, the actual temp of 245K is the coldest since Feb of 2017!
 
CD1FFF09-7C44-4BD9-9693-416D181317DE.png DT says”, if you believe winters over, your stupid “
 
The bad trends seem to have ended but now the bulls eye lolly-pops are just bouncing around run to run. Anyway, NC VA border area looks better this run of the NAM 12K if real.
 
The talked about warm up next week, is going bye bye! More 50s for highs and low 60s for highs! Let’s keep it cool as long as possible, we’ll have plenty of 90-95 degree days with upper 60s dew points!
 
Hopefully the 00z 12k and 3k Nam are right and the gfs is wrong. 3k gives me 3 plus and 12k around 2 inches while the gfs is maybe an inch. All 3 previous storms I've had this winter ended up with more snow like the Nam while the gfs was wrong with its lower totals.IMG_0040.PNG

Edit: Of course at some point this trend will end but I'm hoping to pull off one more good one.
 
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The GFS is on board with yet another opportunity for wintry weather late this weekend... In any case if we see anything at all it’ll be icing on the cake
 
Looks like there could be some snow falling here tomorrow morning, but not really any accumulation. Still, anything falling this time of year is pretty cool.
 
There's certainly a small, but legitimate chance this clipper in the medium range delivers some snow as far south as the I-40 corridor or VA border counties in NC, I wouldn't completely go to sleep on it.
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For those of you still interested in winter, just heard on the radio that there might be some rain/snow mixing around Boone for later into tomorrow morning, not accumulating snow, but still snow nonetheless. Winter is not giving up.
 
Avalanche said:
For those of you still interested in winter, just heard on the radio that there might be some rain/snow mixing around Boone for later into tomorrow morning, not accumulating snow, but still snow nonetheless. Winter is not giving up.
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I think you are a little bit behind... They are under a winter storm warning.
 
For some odd reason March 25th (which will be this Sunday) is a very popular day on the calendar in late March for delivering a substantial winter storm for central NC. There's been at least 5 sizable events here in the last several decades or so
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Avalanche said:
For those of you still interested in winter, just heard on the radio that there might be some rain/snow mixing around Boone for later into tomorrow morning, not accumulating snow, but still snow nonetheless. Winter is not giving up.
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They are getting accumulating snow
 
From the department of wtf is this, this graphic is way too over the top w/ colors, smh whoever made this at NWS Boston should be embarrassed, at least use a slightly larger interval or something lol my eyes can't take this.
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Webberweather53 said:
From the department of wtf is this, this graphic is way too over the top w/ colors, smh whoever made this at NWS Boston should be embarrassed, at least use a slightly larger interval or something lol my eyes can't take this.
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How else are they gonna get their next annual allocation of colors from the Federal Government if they don't use it all up this year ... oldest trick in the book ... LOL ... :p
 
Webberweather53 said:
From the department of wtf is this, this graphic is way too over the top w/ colors, smh whoever made this at NWS Boston should be embarrassed, at least use a slightly larger interval or something lol my eyes can't take this.
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it makes me want to eat some rainbow sherbet...
 
Just had some pea size hail here. Made up for all the frozen I missed out on in the 2nd half of winter
 
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