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Pattern Magnificent March

ForsythSnow said:
I'd say the system on the 9th has more potential than that post-truncation one.
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NorthGaWinter4 said:
So you’re saying there’s a chance lol
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We just have to get a sheared shortwave into the mix before that trough and cold air associated with lift out. Threading the needle as usual but it doesn't hurt to have a deeper trough at the very least these darn bugs will die
 
Webberweather53 said:
We just have to get a sheared shortwave into the mix before that trough and cold air associated with lift out. Threading the needle as usual but it doesn't hurt to have a deeper trough at the very least these darn bugs will die
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I no doubt want to get these bugs killed. I have swarms of these bugs that are hanging out around my house and have a desire to fly at me every time I get within a few feet of them. Hopefully they get frozen.
 
Jon said:
Commence weenie excitement in 5...4...3....

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No need for weenie excitement W of RAH! Don’t know if it’s a gfs feedback problem or what, but the precip all over the W Carolinas, with a coastal low, won’t happen ! . So we won’t need to nitpick p-types, cause it won’t be there
 
ForsythSnow said:
I no doubt want to get these bugs killed. I have swarms of these bugs that are hanging out around my house and have a desire to fly at me every time I get within a few feet of them. Hopefully they get frozen.
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I'm already pulling ticks off me, so if Dec, Jan didn't get 'em, I don't think March will, unless we get down to 0 like in 73, and I've been swatting the occasional mosquitoes for weeks, so it looks like they ate Jan for lunch, lol, and are after me for supper. The one thing I didn't see in fall was the yellow jacket nests, so I hope they didn't go deep enough, and Jan got them for this year too.
 
Tarheel1 said:
No need for weenie excitement W of RAH! Don’t know if it’s a gfs feedback problem or what, but the precip all over the W Carolinas, with a coastal low, won’t happen ! . So we won’t need to nitpick p-types, cause it won’t be there
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Post-truncation will do that. Lol


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Mid-Atlantic folks will like this one...surely this solution would throw backside snow into parts of NC on exit.

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Is it me or have the gfs runs been getting a little colder as we get closer to getting rid of this warmth? It’s actually not been that bad today with temps in the mid to upper 50s. Tomorrow should get in to the 60s but then temps drop into the lower 30s by Friday morning. After that temps will start dropping below freezing at night time for the first time in a few weeks. Heck the gfs tries to drop some very wet snow here next Tuesday night. Temps don’t look to go below 34 that night so it won’t amount to anything if it does snow. At least as of now.
 
Some goofy looking happy hour solutions for goofus. I will be testing the generator tomorrow though in case things get bad Friday with the wind. Point-n-click has gusts to 55 Friday and 50 Friday night. Not a real high end event per the forecast but these things can be unpredictable here with high winds aloft.
 
I think both the cold and the 'snow' wink,wink, will be adjusting further south as we go forward into early March. Shoot me dead if I'm wrong.
 
Euro shows something similar, not quite as deep.. I'd say how this guy ^ fluctuates over the next 2-3 days will be crucial to anyone in the northern half of the SE US seeing snow of some sort. Freezes look likely though at least into the I-20 corridor North. We'll see..
 
whamby said:
Euro shows something similar, not quite as deep.. I'd say how this guy ^ fluctuates over the next 2-3 days will be crucial to anyone in the northern half of the SE US seeing snow of some sort. Freezes look likely though at least into the I-20 corridor North. We'll see..
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The 0z Euro solution seems a little out in left field wrt the depth of the trough, its pretty telling when its own extremely dampened 9 day ensemble mean actually has a deeper trough in the E US.
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whamby said:
I think both the cold and the 'snow' wink,wink, will be adjusting further south as we go forward into early March. Shoot me dead if I'm wrong.
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Unfortunately, there is only so far south something can adjust, and I doubt it will go too far south. However, I wouldn't rule it out in your area.
 
tractor girl said:
Would prefer no more freezing weather. Blueberries and plums are in bloom right now IMBY.
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It's deep freezes that are a problem, not just light freezing weather. My dad has only lost his blueberries twice since he's been growing them and it's not too often that we're done with reaching freezing early. Both times where they were lost had low-mid 20s weather.
 
If the models are showing snow here more than 10 days out, I doubt it will come to happen.

Meanwhile, we have a severe threat in parts of NC and SC this afternoon.
 
Looks like there's a chance my prediction I made months ago might come true.

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Maybe it will deter the grass and stinkin bugs.
 
Fwiw next week still has some potential interesting weather, at least for around these parts.... GFS is very close to something imby. Anyway wind advisory up for tomorrow for gust close to 50 mph so March coming in like a lion
 
13 degree temperature difference between DownTown Greenville and the Laurens County line..that's a 25-30 minute drive. Quite a front
 
Should make for an interesting day tomorrow
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