JWaterman
Member
I can’t say for 100% certain, but I can almost swear I heard distant thunder in Albemarle, NC.
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Wintry Machine Learning Mauler 1/30-2/1
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Makeitsnow
Member
omg it was brutal waiting. Felt like it took forever. On top of that even though it's below freezing, 28 or so, i had enough solar insolation that it took a while to start accumulating...unlike the lucky ones up north where it started at night and didn't lose a flake. I just hope i can make up for it. Wind is dead calm here, where as the wind is solidly out of the west around athens. so i'm hoping that will help. I'm closing in on an 0.75 to an inch in about 30 to 45 minutes.Family in NW GA reported that they got nearly an inch of a snow.
I'm sick of this wait man.
rburrel2
Member
Man, the skies really darkened here with this last band.. and it is now absolutely ripping again. plus the wind has picked up. It's hard to even be outside in it.
Also visibility is way down, we're getting some serious rates at the moment.
Also visibility is way down, we're getting some serious rates at the moment.
LovingGulfLows
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A met on Americanwx believes it's downsloping winds because of the angle winds are coming off of the mountains to the north. Honestly, it's just not an ideal ULL track for our area. I've been nearly bone dry as well despite models calling for 2-3 inches here. Haven't seen even 5 minutes of decent snow rates so it was a big failure for the models to not see this pocket of dry air. Ironically enough GFS and Rufus might be the most accurate models for my backyard
.Man y'all are gonna get buried. I'd love to be sitting in a tavern in Belhaven for the rest of the day watching it come down. That area will probably be the statewide winner when all is said and done.
rburrel2
Member
wow, yall wouldn't believe this. I can't see 50 yards!
I'm worried the NW Triangle (Durham / Chapel Hill) is going to be too far NW to benefit from that, too. But I have hope!!!
rburrel2
Member
OMG!!!!!!! i've never seen anything like this.
Sctvman
Member
Snowing in Manning, SC now per the traffic cams
Yeah they’ve been calling this for days. Win for the GFS on this one, Euro was dead wrong for us. WeatherNext and AI recently were calling for lower numbers for ATL proper also but not this low lol. And nobody called the persistent bands to our west lol.Ironically enough GFS and Rufus might be the most accurate models for my backyard
didn't you just say it was underwhelming
ForsythSnow
Moderator
That model failed horribly with the deform band here the HRRR and Euro were hammering us with. The HRRR and NAM and others that had the one over Forsyth turned out accurate.
It’s just positively ripping
Nerman
Member
Ripping here
rburrel2
Member
I guess that's what a snow squall is like? Complete white out... 30 mph wind gusts... almost as dark as night time... it was crazy... still snowing heavily now but the wind and darkness and complete white out conditions only lasted like 2 minutes.
LongRanger
Member
I think the heavy stuff is over now up here. Northern Pickens is just Light snow now
Cobbweather
Member
The bands to the west ( of Roswell) are what really kill me. If the whole storm was further east - cool. Sucky, but I could live with that. A big snow band to my east AND one to my west? Not cool bro.
At least my son in Athens is getting a nice big snow today!
And out of nowhere its puking snow again with nothing showing over me directly on radar. What a weird event!
LovingGulfLows
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GFS was literally the only model consistently saying I was getting no accumulating snow. Obviously its the GFS so I dismissed it for the most part especially considering every other model had me getting measurable snowfall. Low and behold, of course, it's right now when I don't want it to be lol. Still a mediocre model.
Wonder if the GFS/RRFS doesn't have the bias that Bouncy was talking about yesterday.
rburrel2
Member
We added an inch in ten minutes and I’m not exaggerating
Would recommend looking at the correlation coefficient instead of reflectivity, especially in GA. Tells a better story.
Agreed. It’s going to go negative too late to save our area I’m afraid. I’d expect the heavier rates to be to our east.
The dry slot along the coast earlier gave me a little hope that the sfc low was deepening fast enough to save us but I’m losing hope on that. It trended to a nightmare scenario for the RDU area. Once the dry slot started showing up Thursday, I knew we had to have the ULL trend to the perfect tilt. That just didn’t happen. I’m holding out hope for a couple of inches. I believe I had 5.7 for Raleigh in the contest but don’t see that happening
Absolutely ripping in eastern Union County, NC. Over 2” now
Makeitsnow
Member
where are you, channel 2 is showing it snowing pretty hard on webcams in athens and radar only shows a slight let up with the airport reporting heavy snow as of a few minutes ago/noon.
btw it should snow in/around athens until late afternoon/near 0z.
A few lingering flurries here but otherwise all wrapped up. Final measurement 1.7".
JQPublic
Member
That sure made me feel better. Also looks to be closing in fast from the west now! But Dr Wall is prob talking about it coming in from the east so I dunno.
I do not think its melting or evaporating. It's just getting blown away.
Makeitsnow
Member
that's awesome. were you under one of those heavier returns moving sw?
BufordWX
Member
Starting to come down pretty good once again.
The difference between South Forsyth and North Forsyth along 400 in North Georgia is jarring. This is only a difference of about 15 miles
Heelyes
Member
Small flakes but a lot of them now
rburrel2
Member
Yea, it was as legit convective squall line. like a summer thunderstorm squall line, accompanied by 30-40mph winds. it also looks like i was right in the "bow" of it when it blasted through my backyard.
Makeitsnow
Member
dang it looks like 3 or 4 inches in gwinnett county on channel 2.
It's definitely evaporating, if the wind was blowing it, you'd be able to see it piling up somewhere lol. Everything that fell earlier is gone.
iGRXY
Member
I mean it’s just sitting on Spartanburg and Greenville man. And the bands are still coming out of the Ne right now so we aren’t even close to them pivoting and moving west to east.