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Wintry Machine Learning Mauler 1/30-2/1

11:20 Observation
Light Snow
Snow Accumulation: 3.5 inches (0.9 inches in past hour)
Temperature: 23.2

10:20 Observation
Moderate Snow
Snow Accumulation: 2.6 inches (1.3 inches in past hour)
Temperature: 23.5

9:20 Observation
Moderate Snow
Snow Accumulation: 1.3 inches
Temperature: 23.0 F
 
What an all time perfect snowhole over RDU proper...hasn't budged all day. At least when we bust we bust with flare.

Congrats to everyone getting snow...hoping to see multiple reports of 10"+ in the Carolina's.

View attachment 192529
Your getting 4-7. Hang tight. 1 pm should start going triangle. And going good this afternoon, tonight
 
To be fair Raleigh had better snows the past few years than the Charlotte area. I have about 2.5 in Person County
How does Roxboro always get more snow than here, no matter what the setup is? It baffles the mind.

And you’re not wrong that Raleigh has done better than Charlotte recently, but Raleigh hasn’t done well, either. We are the better fed, but we are both slowly starving. Two of the last three winters here were snowless and last winter was average.
 
It’s absolutely dumping snow here. We are healing.
Yes. It feels like I scouted a perfect ski weekend and I’ve just arrived up at Sugar mountain to heavy NW flow. This is rare stuff and we may not see it again for another 15+ years. Powder only comparable to January 2011
 
Future radar. Been doing great job so far. So im gonna keep riding it. Better than cams imo.

This is 2:11 pm. At 1pm ish, snow should start breaking out around triangle. Be light. But its covered dry hole by 2:11 pm



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Fast forward to 5:30 pm and notice bands darker colored,coastal is cranking and upper low is giving in slowly.

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41002 bouy update: looks like a front of moved through overnight. in my hobbyist analysis this coastal low is looking like it wants to audition for Wicked Tuna: Outer Banks rather than try to go hang at the beach.

also generally on track per forecast although perhaps some uncertainty wrt the low forming even further east

aivzkb.jpg
 

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Future radar. Been doing great job so far. So im gonna keep riding it. Better than cams imo.

This is 2:11 pm. At 1pm ish, snow should start breaking out around triangle. Be light. But its covered dry hole by 2:11 pm



View attachment 192559


Fast forward to 5:30 pm and notice bands darker colored,coastal is cranking and upper low is giving in slowly.

View attachment 192563
I hope so but really hard to believe it for the Triangle.
 
Future radar. Been doing great job so far. So im gonna keep riding it. Better than cams imo.

This is 2:11 pm. At 1pm ish, snow should start breaking out around triangle. Be light. But its covered dry hole by 2:11 pm



View attachment 192559


Fast forward to 5:30 pm and notice bands darker colored,coastal is cranking and upper low is giving in slowly.

View attachment 192563

That’s hard to fathom 5pm and still cranking. Do you have the radar that shows how long it goes through the triad? You’ve been great to follow through this storm.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
I don't know how but it keeps getting heavier. Closing in on 2" now fast.
Coming down good here and we are over 2”, probably close to 2.5”. Had to run get a prescription for my wife and a 25-minute round trip took me 1 hour, 10 minutes. Definitely not great driving conditions.
 

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Bout the only saving grace I could see for RDU through JoCo is wind getting high enough to blow a few drifts from counties away. Other than that, chalk this one up, she gone.

Current Obs:
22.5 IMBY
1/4 in snow, quite powdery
Very light snow coming down
 
Closed 850mb low with warm advection / overrunning co-located with frontogenesis. Those are 2 methods in the mid-levels for producing rising motion, and with moisture, precipitation. This time, we're overrunning warm air into cold air that is cold enough to say no, not this time big boy....no warm nose on the sounding above 0 deg C today.

Jan 31 850 low 1.png

Jan 31 850 low 2.png
 
Future radar. Been doing great job so far. So im gonna keep riding it. Better than cams imo.

This is 2:11 pm. At 1pm ish, snow should start breaking out around triangle. Be light. But its covered dry hole by 2:11 pm



View attachment 192559


Fast forward to 5:30 pm and notice bands darker colored,coastal is cranking and upper low is giving in slowly.

View attachment 192563
What is the source for future radar?
 
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