Wintry Machine Learning Mauler 1/30-2/1

[iwantsouthernsnow123]

That verga band over moving into NE GA (Soon to be enter Upstate SC) should help a ton with getting the DGZ moist. I think we're less than a couple hours away potentially from snow reaching SFC.

 

[ChattaVOL]

I think the first batch of snow is all we are gonna get in Chattanooga


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[LukeBarrette]

Snowing decent again here, close to 1.5 inches

 

[Xlhunter3]

Big Flakes in North Durham. Starting to cover everything.

 

[Sctvman]

Darlington, SC flurries

 

[dsaur]

We say that every winter, and yet here we sit still suffering through the same ones.

I think the first batch of snow is all we are gonna get in Chattanooga


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

There is a train behind the ull coming down lake Michigan and down the Mississippi. Might get us.

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

Icon last 4 run SW trend: Some will like and some will not. Is this the Icon catching up with other models?

View attachment 192238

View attachment 192239

It's amazing how many runs of many different models have Walton County with such a wide accumulation difference across the county. The ICON has joined the party.

 

[HDGator]

Here's what everyone is waiting for.

 

[NE Ga Wx]

That verga band over moving into NE GA (Soon to be enter Upstate SC) should help a ton with getting the DGZ moist. I think we're less than a couple hours away potentially from snow reaching SFC.

I am watching that too - it should be here shortly

 

[WxBlue]

Here's what everyone is waiting for.
View attachment 192248

This is essentially a slightly less resolution version of my forecast map. Very nice!

 

[egg]

can anyone in this area lmk if any of that is actually reaching the ground? i’d assume not with no mping reports but you never know. looks pretty beefy for this early on

 

[NCwx1992]

Big Flakes in North Durham. Starting to cover everything.

I fear I'm just about 7-10 miles too SE of this band hitting northern most Durham country right now :\

 

[Weatherheels]

Flurries started last 10 minutes, about 7 miles NW of PTI

 

[LukeBarrette]

So the banding is going nuts

 

[iwantsouthernsnow123]

I am watching that too - it should be here shortly

Yep, initally it wont bring anything to the surface, but the DGZ is getting very moist, just a matter of time. I suspect by around midnight we should start seeing it reach the surface around this area.

 

[jjwxman]

ULL has now closed off at H5 over Southern Illinois.

 

[Chazwin]

One thing that will be very interesting after we know exactly how much of a snow pack we have, is how low temperatures could go overnight on Sunday. The 0z GFS now has me with a low of 3 on Monday morning.

 

[Nomanslandva]

There is a train behind the ull coming down lake Michigan and down the Mississippi. Might get us.

Good luck Tony!

 

[Rain Cold]

can anyone in this area lmk if any of that is actually reaching the ground? i’d assume not with no mping reports but you never know. looks pretty beefy for this early on
View attachment 192249

Milky moonlight still. But it won't be long.

 

[atlwx]

Which is probably why this storm needs an obs thread? Can we not just enjoy this storm without too much thought into what goes where, maybe

The models aren’t as reliable for a storm like this. Observations are actually useful in this thread.

If you’ve got an observation, ya shouldn’t hesitate to post it for fear of getting banned from the thread. Maybe just don’t post 5+ redundant photos of your kids and/or dog playing in the snow (ok, one redundant dog photo is always fine).

 

[Weatherlover92]

It’s hard to imagine it was around 53 at 4pm here today and 7hrs later it’s 36. We dropped 5 degrees within the past hour alone. I’ve transitioned into radar mode. The seesawing back and forth for my area on model guidance is giving me a headache. Hoping for the best, but prepared for nothing at the same time.

 

[iwantsouthernsnow123]

Appears like there may be some snow flurries in Sky Valley GA based off webcamera's available online. Very light and occasional but that will increase.

(Quality of the webcam is horrible so you may have to wait a while to see a flake as you have to look very closely)

 

[Avalanche]

Here's what everyone is waiting for.
View attachment 192248

Dang GFS burys the whole state

 

[disassociated_vort]

went looking for ASCAT data (just for S&Gs ofc) pulled this for the chat

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

CJ says “en route”

 

[Sctvman]

Channel 4 going 1-3 CHS metro, 3-5 northern part of Berkeley/Charleston, T-1 south. Channel 2 2-4” metro, 3-6 northern part, t-2 south, 4-8 in Kingstree and northern Georgetown County.

That Charleston metro cutoff could be crazy. Edisto could be at a dusting or maybe a little over while Moncks Corner could be 4-6”

 

[JimBobs]

Feels like it's already snowing in every direction except CLT. Charlotte snow-hole forcefield activated.

 

[olhausen]

My goodness!
View attachment 192229

Might want to black your license plate out bud. I try to with address and plates in snow pics on the net.

 

[CaryWx]

Might want to black your license plate out bud. I try to with address and plates in snow pics on the net.

Don't think you can cross reference lic. plates to identity/owner. It is not public information.

 

[Oconeexman]

Appears like there may be some snow flurries in Sky Valley GA based off webcamera's available online. Very light and occasional but that will increase.

(Quality of the webcam is horrible so you may have to wait a while to see a flake as you have to look very closely)

Yea im waiting and steadily checking my camera. Prob gonna take a nap and get up at 2...good luck!

 

[JalenW25]

Sent from my SM-S156V using Tapatalk

 

[WxBlue]

Feels like it's already snowing in every direction except CLT. Charlotte snow-View attachment 192254hole forcefield activated.

Forcing isn't there yet and won't be for several more hours.

 

[CaryWx]

CJ says “en route”View attachment 192253

Uptick for Raleigh? Not so sure about that.

 

[BIG FROSTY]

Yea im waiting and steadily checking my camera. Prob gonna take a nap and get up at 2...good luck!

Good luck down there buddy!

 

[rduwx]

Just south of Knoxville is getting slammed! That band has just been sitting there.

 

[Avalanche]

Uptick for Raleigh? Not so sure about that.

Somewhere on East Chatham st or Maynard

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Getting hard to see Ober.

@Parker - You ok up there?View attachment 192231

@Parker fighting for his life up there

 

[Packsox03]

ULL has now closed off at H5 over Southern Illinois.

View attachment 192251

Both NAMs didn't have it closing off until 8z. Closed off at 4z

 

[DylanWx]

Seems like a bit more moisture on radar than modeled? Thoughts?

 

[Stormsfury]

Channel 4 going 1-3 CHS metro, 3-5 northern part of Berkeley/Charleston, T-1 south. Channel 2 2-4” metro, 3-6 northern part, t-2 south, 4-8 in Kingstree and northern Georgetown County.

That Charleston metro cutoff could be crazy. Edisto could be at a dusting or maybe a little over while Moncks Corner could be 4-6”

Been many a model Showing Lowcountry Tri-County enhancement happening. I feel like 4"-6" is a good estimate on what I believe will occur, maybe isolated higher and lower spots.