Wintry Machine Learning Mauler 1/30-2/1

[BullCityWx]

RGEM added two tenths of QPF over its 18z run

 

[Chazwin]

FWIW the 0z ICON is a crush job again with highest amounts in and around CLT then along the coast. Dry slot not nearly as prevalent.

 

[iwantsouthernsnow123]

Northern GA and Upstate SC DGZ is getting very close to go time.

Meso Analysis

 

[Mahomeless]

Getting hard to see Ober.

@Parker - You ok up there?

 

[atlwx]

My goodness!
View attachment 192229

Where is this? No way that is Hoover, AL.

 

[ChrisAMB]

Man my anxiety is climbing. Want to see some coastal bands rotating in!!

Might be tomorrow afternoon and especially after sunset before things get cranking for us.

 

[Brent9]

P

View attachment 192228

wouldnt shock me to see gsp increase since they usually stay pretty close to this

 

[Brent]

Where is this? No way that is Hoover, AL.

Gatlinburg

 

[Chazwin]

RGEM is holding steady at 0z. It has a band setting right along the coast from just north of Cape Fear to close to Morehead City that if it’s right will probably have 24”+ totals.

 

[ChrisAMB]

Where is this? No way that is Hoover, AL.

Gatlinburg I'd assume.

 

[Btownheel]

Just picked up steam here. Suck it, dry slot. Come onnnnn lift over that warm front!


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[weatherfide]

Where is this? No way that is Hoover, AL.

He is in Gatlinburg, TN.

 

[Gibby]

It's snowing in Hillsborough!

 

[PEA_RIDGE]

My goodness!
View attachment 192229

@Parker YOU HAD ME WORRIED.. SEEING THAT SHELBY CO TAG AND SNOW COMBINED.. IM AT WORK ALL NIGHT AND WAS LIKE I DIDNT PREPARE FOR THIS

 

[BullCityWx]

It's snowing in Hillsborough!

Starting to cover roads over here. How about your way?

 

[D-Ray]

Flurries have started !!!

 

[Snowfan]

Do we have an obs thread yet??

There is no obs thread. Report obs in this thread

 

[WxBlue]

 

[Gibby]

Starting to cover roads over here. How about your way?

Not yet. But coming down pretty good.

 

[campamy]

Johnson City

 

[BIG FROSTY]

Lol. I swear I dont know how you do it. Been in the black hole on every model run, but when the starting gun sounds, you are 1st one out of the blocks. I hope you get burried. Pulling for you an everyone on here

Thank you! I hope everyone gets a good snow also.

 

[ChrisAMB]

Man my anxiety is climbing. Want to see some coastal bands rotating in!!

I'm not sure if this graphic was updated before or after the earlier onset was noted but still a general idea. It's around 9am-11am depending on area for 1" arrival and this is for 3".

 

[BullCityWx]

So in a rather big development, the hires RGEM(their HRRR) just took RDU and upped QPF from .24 to .62.

 

[GaWx]

Icon last 4 run SW trend: Some will like and some will not. Is this the Icon catching up with other models?

 

[JalenW25]

So in a rather big development, the hires RGEM(their HRRR) just took RDU and upped QPF from .24 to .62.

More than doubled almost tripled QPF. More coastal influence or more ULL influence? Or more of both?

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[BullCityWx]

More than doubled almost tripled QPF. More coastal influence or more ULL influence? Or more of both?

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Most of it falls tomorrow afternoon so I am assuming coastal. Here’s the kuchera map:

 

[Rain Cold]

I can't wait to see how/where that coastal develops.

 

[NE Ga Wx]

View attachment 192230

Northern GA and Upstate SC DGZ is getting very close to go time.

Meso Analysis

I was thinking about trying to take a nap before it started and then looked at the radar. There are echos in white county so I may stay up and see if it’s virga or reaching the ground - it’s a bit earlier than I thought. The temp has been slowly dropping all evening and down to 34

 

[Tarheel1]

GFS still cooking! Impressive

 

[Packsox03]

Most of it falls tomorrow afternoon so I am assuming coastal. Here’s the kuchera map:

View attachment 192240

Coastal is how we score in the triangle. Would love to see some other hires guidance on it but they’re already struggling early on

 

[Shaggy]

I can't wait to see how/where that coastal develops.

Still can't grasp a sub 990 low that close not throwing gobs of qpf back west

 

[GaWx]

Icon SW precip trend due to H5 low SW trend…it appears to be playing catch-up to the other models previously having it SW of the Icon: so trend may not continue

 

[iwantsouthernsnow123]

That verga band over moving into NE GA (Soon to be enter Upstate SC) should help a ton with getting the DGZ moist. I think we're less than a couple hours away potentially from snow reaching SFC.

 

[ChattaVOL]

I think the first batch of snow is all we are gonna get in Chattanooga


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[LukeBarrette]

Snowing decent again here, close to 1.5 inches

 

[Xlhunter3]

Big Flakes in North Durham. Starting to cover everything.

 

[Sctvman]

Darlington, SC flurries

 

[dsaur]

We say that every winter, and yet here we sit still suffering through the same ones.

I think the first batch of snow is all we are gonna get in Chattanooga


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There is a train behind the ull coming down lake Michigan and down the Mississippi. Might get us.

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

Icon last 4 run SW trend: Some will like and some will not. Is this the Icon catching up with other models?

View attachment 192238

View attachment 192239

It's amazing how many runs of many different models have Walton County with such a wide accumulation difference across the county. The ICON has joined the party.

 

[HDGator]

Here's what everyone is waiting for.