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Wintry King Kong Winter Storm Potential Feb 13th-16th

SD said:
If I lived in AL I would really be rooting for a way to deepen the freezing layer and avoid freezing rain. If the low level cold over performs it's just going to be a larger area of freezing rain. Notice how the back edge of the freezing rain didn't really move east but the front edge did. Nam might be moving toward other models with the LL cold but they didn't really budge as much with the warm nose
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I'm sickly and selfishly rooting for just enough ZR to not cause power outages (at my house) but enough to glaze the roads so that I don't have to work Tuesday (Monday is a Holiday). :cool: I've never been under the delusion that my location would be snow. However, seeing anything frozen here at the Capital of the I-20 Snow Hole is just gravy. I do hope for minimal damage and loss for the ones that see extreme ice, as always.
 
DadOfJax said:
Warm nose is going to be strong up through most of AL I’m afraid....and it ALWAYS wins out.
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I really haven't looked at this a it since I gave up but I would really be watching the 700/850 maps if I were in your area. You can see the problems that exist in Al into MS
 
SASQUATCH said:
I'm sickly and selfishly rooting for just enough ZR to not cause power outages (at my house) but enough to glaze the roads so that I don't have to work Tuesday (Monday is a Holiday). :cool: I've never been under the delusion that my location would be snow. However, seeing anything frozen here at the Capital of the I-20 Snow Hole is just gravy. I do hope for minimal damage and loss for the ones that see extreme ice, as always.
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It's a nice case here for low level cold to over perform and maybe get freezing rain to Bham or sightly east.
 
SD said:
It's a nice case here for low level cold to over perform and maybe get freezing rain to Bham or sightly east.
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If it makes it to KBMX it would def document the troubles models have with with very shallow arctic air (especially in our region).
 
I’m so excited about the wx history looking to be made at DFW next week! For a wx history geek like me, the week is hard to beat as regards how anomalous it is looking there.

@Brent must be in heaven and/or in shock right now!
 
I mean this is just ridiculous lol, if models continue to struggle with the shallow arctic air, freezing rain is gonna be farther SE 3E9BAF94-6DEB-443E-94C1-9831A9A1A7CE.gif
 
Gfs is a freezing rain fest .
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Storm5 said:
Haha I bet he’s in shock .


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Shiiiiiiid, @Brent might be drunk AF right now. I know I would be....wait....I might be :p

34F right now...High was 37F and was supposed to be 43F

Expert Big Wrong for 2 Day
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
This, with how poorly models are handling it, I would argue even further SE
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Yeah it's going to be interesting where the inverted trough/warm front sets up. I wouldn't be entirely surprised to see it along the residual wedge boundary where some lingering E to NE flow is left. Really interesting mslp pattern
 
Since Friday morning our hourly temperatures in Huntsville area have busted by 8-14 degrees. Is this why we’ve seen trends inch eastward, as in the cold is over performing? I’ve seen y’all write how models have a tough time with Arctic air
 
Another thing that will minimize impact in AL is how heavy the precip will be. Going to be hard to get a lot of accretion in rain that heavy. Sleet will be the biggest player, and that’s in the far NW sections. I’m sticking to my guns....cold rain for 90% of us in AL. Hope I have to eat crow.
 
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