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Wintry King Kong Winter Storm Potential Feb 13th-16th
- Thread starter deltadog03
- Start date
Since the high is retreating in THIS depiction, probably more ice for around our areas versus what the Icon would have been.
Just Freezing Rain.
I am not buying the High retreating fast or building in slowly
YetAnotherRDUGuy
Member
Everybody be cool. And more importantly*...
*at least...not until Wed
*at least...not until Wed
Downeastnc
Member
Really need the PV to flex more and keep that storm track further south and more ENE....but the clear trend for early next week is towards colder temps and lots of wet.....we just need the above to happen so we can cash in on a big dog SNOW storm versus the crippling icy mess the models currently have.
I mean if you think about it the ensembles show a super wide range of possibilities but almost all have something wintry from a Miller B .. the operstionals are going to be crazy
Cadi40
Member
Go figure I’m always fringed during snow events but of course manage to be right in the bullseye during a crippling ice storm...
Mr. Golf
Member
Hi guys. Does anyone have a fzr map for the euro for my area around jonesboro ar? Thank you
Mr. Golf
Member
Thanks buddy. If correct, its impressive.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Nah it’s probably sleet with sfc temps like that, even an extremely shallow cold layer with temps in the mid 20s could probably get the job done
6z ICON vs 00z
Clem282340
Member
Is this a better look
It would most likely result in colder temps for the event, but I would be interested to see if it would have crushed the wave. Looks good though.
Downeastnc
Member
GFS has the big ice storm Mon-Wed next week at 06Z......
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
I noticed the GEFS looks worse yet again w/ the TPV lobe on the 6z vs the 0z run. Oth, I've noticed over the last several runs that the "worse" runs wrt TPV lobe location have usually been the 6z & 18z suites which don't include new RAOB data. I'm honestly more inclined to just pay attention to the 0z & 12z suites only at this juncture for that reason.
NCSNOW
Member
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I full on expect models to start kicking the early week cold/East of the Apps for Sun/Mon/Tues down the road to mid-late next week or just disolve/kinda of burn out the TPV/Shuffle it to unfavorable position.
This has been happening repeatedly. All this TPV/Glory Pattern started showing up for today 2/9 as a deep south winter weather event/record Cold way back over a week-10 days ago. Then it kicked the can to the end of this week 2/13-2/14, then the can got kicked to early next week 2/15-2/16. We are getting inside the 5-7 day window of that time period ( 2/15-2/16). So I'm just sitting here waiting for Lucy to pull the football again today or tommorow. 6z GFS kinda hints at doing this outside the Carolina Ice storm . We will see /learn a lot from 12z today till 12z tommorow.
This has been happening repeatedly. All this TPV/Glory Pattern started showing up for today 2/9 as a deep south winter weather event/record Cold way back over a week-10 days ago. Then it kicked the can to the end of this week 2/13-2/14, then the can got kicked to early next week 2/15-2/16. We are getting inside the 5-7 day window of that time period ( 2/15-2/16). So I'm just sitting here waiting for Lucy to pull the football again today or tommorow. 6z GFS kinda hints at doing this outside the Carolina Ice storm . We will see /learn a lot from 12z today till 12z tommorow.