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Wintry King Kong Winter Storm Potential Feb 13th-16th

Look at these gfs totals through next Thursday
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I think this is a really valid point. Reason I rode the CMC & RGEM with the last event. They seemed to have had a better handle and then when the HRRR was available Memphis started shifting their warnings southeastward.
How much ice do you guys get and Memphis??
 
How much ice do you guys get and Memphis??
Probably around 2 tenths at my location. This was a late communication from Memphis last night but I believe fit the overall picture. Rain rates were heavy at times to say the least.

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 942 PM CST Wed Feb 10 2021/
UPDATE...
Midsouth ice event was underway at midevening. Heavier convective
freezing rain showers moved through the Memphis metro in the early
evening. Latest HRRR runs have cued into an elevated convective
potential evident on the 00Z LZK soundings. This convective
potential has resulted in locally heavier rain rates that will
persist through early Thursday morning - mainly along and south of
the I-40 corridor. Storm total ice accumulations to 3/4 inches
appear possible where these heavier convective showers persist.
 
I saw some video of that taken by people in the opposing lanes. It was hard to watch. 18 wheelers going at least 50, plowing into wrecked and stopped vehicles
Definitely tough to see, As have work with EMS I can only imagine what that was like. Vehicles litterly crushed

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If all goes as modeled, this looks to be a major winter storm for the south. An inch will paralyze most towns here, I can't imagine what will happen if the models are correct in those totals.
Looks like my job is about to get busier.
 
If all goes as modeled, this looks to be a major winter storm for the south. An inch will paralyze most towns here, I can't imagine what will happen if the models are correct in those totals.
Looks like my job is about to get busier.
Stay safe out there, I've been there and done that

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So if the GFS were right, Dallas gets 4-5" of snow with Monday's system *THEN* 7-8" on top of that with Wednesday's system.

Has Mother Nature mistaken us for Minneapolis?
 
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