Wintry King Kong Winter Storm Potential Feb 13th-16th

[MSnowAtl]

Likes like option 1 from what I made a few days ago looks more likely and favored regions stand the best shot per the icon/euro/v16, let’s see what they show shortly View attachment 74096View attachment 74097

From my untrained eye, it seems like the cold front (not wedge) is at the AL/GA line.

 

[iGRXY]

If and that’s a big if, you want an ice situation east of the mountains. Right now you gotta like where you stand this far out with the flip to more CAD already taking place on the models. They’re dropping temps by 4-5 degrees already from 24 hours ago.

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

If and that’s a big if, you want an ice situation east of the mountains. Right now you gotta like where you stand this far out with the flip to more CAD already taking place on the models. They’re dropping temps by 4-5 degrees already from 24 hours ago.

Yep. Icon was right at 4 degrees colder here than it’s 18Z run. CAD doing CAD things.

 

[MSnowAtl]

If and that’s a big if, you want an ice situation east of the mountains. Right now you gotta like where you stand this far out with the flip to more CAD already taking place on the models. They’re dropping temps by 4-5 degrees already from 24 hours ago.

I can see that trending colder for NC & Upstate SC for sure!

Beginning of the muted SER!

 

[Brent]

Icon has two waves here early Sunday and then the bigger wave that everyone is hyping Sunday Night

 

[NWMSGuy]

Like the snowier look on the ICON for Memphis and areas of Northwest Ms more so than the Ice the GFS has been advertising.

 

[JLL1973]

The icon continues to depict a major winter storm on Monday but what concerns me even more is the next wave that moves in Wednesday night. If that were to verify it would be bad news for parts of the midsouth. That’s is a lot of moisture with temps right at freezing

 

[JLL1973]

Like the snowier look on the ICON for Memphis and areas of Northwest Ms more so than the Ice the GFS has been advertising.

Look at the Thursday system the icon is advertising

 

[NWMSGuy]

The icon continues to depict a major winter storm on Monday but what concerns me even more is the next wave that moves in Wednesday night. If that were to verify it would be bad news for parts of the midsouth. That’s is a lot of moisture with temps right at freezing

Really haven’t followed the ICON model much but I guess it doesn’t depict Ice in its output?

 

[JLL1973]

Really haven’t followed the ICON model much but I guess it doesn’t depict Ice in its output?

No it does not

 

[Jeremy Camp]

I have a feeling some of these members are going to skew the mean.
View attachment 72133

I will take 14 and 22

 

[Storm5]

Gfs smokes @Brent Monday


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[Stormlover]

0z gfs has heavier freezing rain in north ala from first wave than 18z

 

[NWMSGuy]

No it does not

You make a valid point regarding the Wednesday/Thursday system from the ICON. After checking 2Meter temps it will be lights out for many I would believe.

 

[Stormlover]

uh oh

 

[Storm5]

Gfs smokes 3/4s of Mississippi with freezing rain and crushed Memphis


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[crecre9]

GFS coming in a bit warmer.
For my area.

 

[NWMSGuy]

GFS has a little bit of a stronger push of cold air at 90 it would appear for the Midsouth. Snow line is pushing into extreme northwest ms this run.

 

[accu35]

FWIW 0z gfs a little colder in west Bama Tuesday night storm

 

[Storm5]

FWIW 0z gfs a little colder in west Bama Tuesday night storm

Monday night


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