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Pattern June Presented by: Heat and Humidity

Gotta love having a large, disorganized system in the Gulf with basically no moisture for most of GA and the Carolina's. Kinda pathetic.
 
Bet there some good lightning shots over north eastern NC tonight
 
Lickwx said:
Gotta love summer, everyone thinks its going to turn into a desert here and the memory of over a foot of rainfall and floods not long ago seems to be buried.
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You can have an excessively wet spring and still have a significant drought by September. Seen it before. I haven't forgotten about the 20 inches that fell in May. But summer drought seems to be the new norm in a lot of the country.

I am a bit jealous of you Triangle folks. That backdoor front is doing its thing. 55-60 degree DP's while us in the CLT metro have Temps pushing 90 and DP's in the low to mid 70's. Maybe we get lucky and fire off a storm or 4 in the Southern Piedmont.
 
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Gonna prolly be the hottest day of the year here, already 90 and it’s only nearing 1
Edit * a few showers developing around now
 
ryan1234 said:
You can have an excessively wet spring and still have a significant drought by September. Seen it before. I haven't forgotten about the 20 inches that fell in May. But summer drought seems to be the new norm in a lot of the country.

I am a bit jealous of you Triangle folks. That backdoor front is doing its thing. 55-60 degree DP's while us in the CLT metro have Temps pushing 90 and DP's in the low to mid 70's. Maybe we get lucky and fire off a storm or 4 in the Southern Piedmont.
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84/60 here while 85/70 at charlotte . Thats ok , we have been one of the most humid spots of the state last few days oddly . A hot dry day is alright
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Gonna prolly be the hottest day of the year here, already 90 and it’s only nearing 1
Edit * a few showers developing around now
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It would be ironic if we end up having more storm coverage today than we have all week. Wouldn't shock me at this point. Some decent towers forming already and it's only 1.
 
Amazing north south , east west difference in dews across wake county. Dews around 70 in southern portion while around 60 in the northern portion. Im in the comfier northern portion heading out to falls lake to do some bow/spear fishing off some kayaks.
 
ryan1234 said:
It would be ironic if we end up having more storm coverage today than we have all week. Wouldn't shock me at this point. Some decent towers forming already and it's only 1.
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what sucks today is that there’s this ugly mid level warmth, while SBcape is good this mid level warmth will probably keep 90% of these weak showers And keep updrafts struggling to access that better cape, until maybe tonight where there’s a better chance of storms, and even then it’s meh 7AD00CFC-E1A5-45C6-A595-DFD85E98F560.png
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
what sucks today is that there’s this ugly mid level warmth, while SBcape is good this mid level warmth will probably keep 90% of these weak showers And keep updrafts struggling to access that better cape, until maybe tonight where there’s a better chance of storms, and even then it’s meh View attachment 42574
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Yeah, I was never overly optimistic about our chances today. Next week looks active, so at least there is that.
 
ryan1234 said:
Yeah, I was never overly optimistic about our chances today. Next week looks active, so at least there is that.
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Yeah me personally I like Wednesday the most with the passage of a cold front, may even be a few strong to severe storms given the uptick in wind shear (multicells) but imo this is probably the best day for convection atm, however this could speed up or slow down to become a bad timing sort of thing 3D122A7D-337B-408D-9CDB-E6D32B93BC13.png6DBD1B4A-F35B-4477-B001-3036F9CD7797.png608688C8-7E18-4A85-A993-3850404458A8.png46653D25-E045-42A4-AE28-325E343308FC.png
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Yeah me personally I like Wednesday the most with the passage of a cold front, may even be a few strong to severe storms given the uptick in wind shear (multicells) but imo this is probably the best day for convection atm, however this could speed up or slow down to become a bad timing sort of thing View attachment 42575View attachment 42576View attachment 42577View attachment 42578
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Well, here's to hoping that the timing is right and we can fire off some decent, organized, convection. Would love to see a MCS of some kind. At the very least, the weather becomes a lot more tolerable after the passage of the front.
 
ryan1234 said:
Well, here's to hoping that the timing is right and we can fire off some decent, organized, convection. Would love to see a MCS of some kind. At the very least, the weather becomes a lot more tolerable after the passage of the front.
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Euro just came out and and it’s more scattered and is slower with the front, lol models are difficult nowadays, timing of a front is in question 2-3 days out, lol
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Euro just came out and and it’s more scattered and is slower with the front, lol models are difficult nowadays, timing of a front is in question 2-3 days out, lol
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Yup, I will wait until that morning before I assume anything. I don’t understand why or how models have gotten progressively worse as time went on. Welcome to 2020, I guess. Lol.


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These showers would be greatly appreciated, would be nice to get some thunder with them but that looks unlikely B58F5F4E-1545-4813-BBD5-1AA29BD751EF.png
 
Very soupy today....

High: 85.6F

I traveled up to Murphy, NC today to drive by a house and it was actually warmer in the mountains, more sunshine.
 
Snowless & Grumpy said:
The models have pooped the bed again. So much for 60% coverage as GSP said earlier. Going on 9 days now with no rain and the weekend looks horrible for chances. Welcome to summer!

Edit
I see others get on here and complain about not getting rain and as they type the bottom falls out. I should try this more often because it worked for me too!
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Just wanting you to know I tried this Friday too, it didn't work for me. I caught 7-10 split of two cells, and got a whopping .09"
 
smast16 said:
Just wanting you to know I tried this Friday too, it didn't work for me. I caught 7-10 split of two cells, and got a whopping .09"
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Today is day 10 since the last rainfall, probably not another good chance until late week. If we don't score something soon the dry will start creeping in even with a lot of rain the 2nd half of May

I will add that some areas may do well today and tomorrow but that seems to be to my west and south
 
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ryan1234 said:
Should see some convection fire, especially CLT and east. Per the latest AFD.
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Starting to like tomorrow more as well, no mid level capping/warmth so updrafts will be free to rise without issues, this will also allow deeper convection and legit thunderstorms again and not these low topped Convective showers we have been getting
 
Still waiting for something to spark, forcing should get better as the evening progresses. Might be a little bit like that night, only with more coverage and hopefully some stronger cells.
 
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