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Pattern July

If Dallas doesn't hit 100 tomorrow ahead of the front then we will likely get through July without one day which is almost unheard of

I'm heading to the beach in Galveston Tuesday and even down there they get a decent front
 
RPM model showing 1.72” of rain Tuesday ! Giddy up!
 
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With the timing of the front tomorrow, y’all should have plenty of instability, and best shot at severe. The front is going to slowly push through, according to NWS, so we all might have a good shot at rain tomorrow!
 
Heat advisory just issued for today, 10th day in a row and will be glad to see it end tomorrow.... what a stretch of humidity!
 
Moderate Risk out north-east TN and South West Virginia for flooding today. If this expands into Wilkes expect a thread with little to no warning.
 
Moderate Risk out north-east TN and South West Virginia for flooding today. If this expands into Wilkes expect a thread with little to no warning.
There's already a summer severe thread. Feel free to post your heart out on there but there's nothing at the current moment that warrants a new thread

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Looks stormy tomorrow as the cold front passes. Does not look to be a big severe threat but definitely some rain maybe even for the GSP area
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Yeah, the severe threat would be more confined to NC, 15-20kts of 0-3km shear/somewhat curved llvl hodo, and 25-35 kts of 500mb flow may allow organized convection as in more organized multicellular clusters, and perhaps a isolated transient supercell with a weak rotating mid level mesocyclone, damaging winds would be a bigger threat due to more organized convection, some BL mixing, dry air aloft but high PWATs, and wind profiles are supportive of linear convection anyways, not nothing crazy tho just your average weak/stalling front that manages to make it into a summertime airmass, and a good rain for most 166CA4E6-E5C2-4B33-97C7-04A446B9CDFD.jpegA0A187A7-990C-4029-9BF9-CAC18DFE3ADB.png
 
Yeah, looks pretty stormy around here tomorrow. Then the rest of the week looks awesome with highs in the 80s. Going to another concert Friday night in Raleigh and it looks like great weather for the parking lot party beforehand.
 
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