Sunset tonight.
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Pattern July
- Thread starter Metwannabe
- Start date
Brent
Member
The gfs is all aboard that front
July overrunning sleet event
No thanks I would rather be 100 than close to 55. Unlike others it’s been to wet cloudy and cool early on northwest NC
Would like the 90s to last longer summer just started
Brent
Member
Don't worry there's still August its usually plenty hot still
Sir your crazy
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
I think if it doesn't pass thru, the chances for rain/storms will increase cloud cover that will probably keep temps down.
I also would keep my eyes peeled for tropical cyclogenesis once it does eventually wash out if a piece of the front gets stuck over the Gulf of Mexico or off the SE US coast.
Models are underestimating the weight of the cold! Temps will come in much colder! The CMC does best with these set ups! ?
from the nws bmx office in bama
THE FORECAST IS A BIT MORE INTERESTING AS WE HEAD INTO NEXT WEEK.
THE WAVE PATTERN WILL BEGIN TO AMPLIFY OVER CANADA AND THE NORTHERN
HALF OF THE CONUS ON SUNDAY. DEEP-LAYER TROUGHING WILL DEVELOP OVER
THE GREAT LAKES REGION AND OHIO VALLEY WITH THE SOUTHERN END OF THE
TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTH INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. UNCHARACTERISTIC
OF THIS TIME OF YEAR, A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH OUR FORECAST AREA
ON MONDAY, DRIVING MORE ORGANIZED RAIN CHANCES MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. GUIDANCE HAS BEEN FAIRLY CONSISTENT OVER THE PAST COUPLE
OF DAYS IN TRYING TO PUSH THIS BOUNDARY INTO SOUTHERN ALABAMA BY
THURSDAY, THOUGH TYPICALLY SUMMER SEASON COLD FRONTAL PASSAGES ARE
UNCOMMON IN ALABAMA. BELIEVE THE MODELS MAY BE A BIT EXAGGERATED ON
THE SOUTHERN PROGRESSION OF THE BOUNDARY, BUT CERTAINLY IF THE
PATTERN AMPLIFIES AS MUCH AS EXPECTED, THEN THE LIKELY OUTCOME WILL
BE A FRONTAL PASSAGE AROUND MID-WEEK. DUE TO THE MENTIONED
UNCERTAINTY, DID NOT GO ANY HIGHER THAN CHANCE/NUMEROUS POPS FOR
MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SOUTHWESTERLY LOW-LEVEL WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO SUPPLY MOISTURE INTO THE REGION SUCH THAT PWATS WILL
STILL BE NEAR 2.0 INCHES OVER CENTRAL AL NEXT WEEK AHEAD OF THE
SURFACE BOUNDARY AND CONVERGENCE ZONE. RAIN TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES
WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA DURING THE EXTENDED PERIOD. THANKFULLY, THE RAIN AND CLOUD
COVER WILL PROVIDE SOME RELIEF TO THE HOT TEMPERATURES NEXT WEEK
WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO NEAR 90 DEGREES MONDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY WITH DRIER CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY
THE FORECAST IS A BIT MORE INTERESTING AS WE HEAD INTO NEXT WEEK.
THE WAVE PATTERN WILL BEGIN TO AMPLIFY OVER CANADA AND THE NORTHERN
HALF OF THE CONUS ON SUNDAY. DEEP-LAYER TROUGHING WILL DEVELOP OVER
THE GREAT LAKES REGION AND OHIO VALLEY WITH THE SOUTHERN END OF THE
TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTH INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. UNCHARACTERISTIC
OF THIS TIME OF YEAR, A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH OUR FORECAST AREA
ON MONDAY, DRIVING MORE ORGANIZED RAIN CHANCES MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. GUIDANCE HAS BEEN FAIRLY CONSISTENT OVER THE PAST COUPLE
OF DAYS IN TRYING TO PUSH THIS BOUNDARY INTO SOUTHERN ALABAMA BY
THURSDAY, THOUGH TYPICALLY SUMMER SEASON COLD FRONTAL PASSAGES ARE
UNCOMMON IN ALABAMA. BELIEVE THE MODELS MAY BE A BIT EXAGGERATED ON
THE SOUTHERN PROGRESSION OF THE BOUNDARY, BUT CERTAINLY IF THE
PATTERN AMPLIFIES AS MUCH AS EXPECTED, THEN THE LIKELY OUTCOME WILL
BE A FRONTAL PASSAGE AROUND MID-WEEK. DUE TO THE MENTIONED
UNCERTAINTY, DID NOT GO ANY HIGHER THAN CHANCE/NUMEROUS POPS FOR
MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SOUTHWESTERLY LOW-LEVEL WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO SUPPLY MOISTURE INTO THE REGION SUCH THAT PWATS WILL
STILL BE NEAR 2.0 INCHES OVER CENTRAL AL NEXT WEEK AHEAD OF THE
SURFACE BOUNDARY AND CONVERGENCE ZONE. RAIN TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES
WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA DURING THE EXTENDED PERIOD. THANKFULLY, THE RAIN AND CLOUD
COVER WILL PROVIDE SOME RELIEF TO THE HOT TEMPERATURES NEXT WEEK
WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO NEAR 90 DEGREES MONDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY WITH DRIER CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY
Excessxcessxcessive Heat Watch in effect for the eastern Piedmont for the weekend. Hate.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
I'll take snow anytime over this.
HEAT INDEX VALUES...Up to 105 today and around 105 degrees Friday.
Then, heat index values potentially may soar to between 110 and
113 Saturday and Sunday afternoons. Heat indices will likely
remain between 80 and 90 all night through the period
But we could get some nice storms out of it.
Hit-and-miss storms are possible Thursday afternoon and evening, and intense heat means a lot of lightning is possible, WRAL meteorologist Aimee Wilmoth said.
“When we have big heat like this, and they cause thunderstorms, they bring a lot of lightning with them and the potential for some damaging winds,” Wilmoth said.
HEAT INDEX VALUES...Up to 105 today and around 105 degrees Friday.
Then, heat index values potentially may soar to between 110 and
113 Saturday and Sunday afternoons. Heat indices will likely
remain between 80 and 90 all night through the period
But we could get some nice storms out of it.
Hit-and-miss storms are possible Thursday afternoon and evening, and intense heat means a lot of lightning is possible, WRAL meteorologist Aimee Wilmoth said.
“When we have big heat like this, and they cause thunderstorms, they bring a lot of lightning with them and the potential for some damaging winds,” Wilmoth said.
Thor
Member
Had a quick mainly wind storm knock out power around my house(Johnston County) around 5pm. Didn't think it was a big deal but power didn't come back on by 9pm so lost my delicious lasagna and eventually everything else in the fridge. Much larger storm with High winds rolled in around Midnight and removed some roofs in my area. Power eventually came back about 4am. Just a reminder to get those generators ready. I have one but wasn't set up for this random storm. Seems like Duke Energy isn't really maintaining my lines out my way.
Don’t worry, tree crushing cold next week!?
My near miss yesterday!
pcbjr
Member
There seems to be some consensus in this ...
Some NC mountains won’t get out of the 60s for highs. But sure go to the Rockies to beat the heat makes sense
The Rockies are awesome. At Vail for example, you’ll almost always have dewpoints in the 20s-40s in the summer. Practically a guarantee. You don’t have to worry about the wx pattern. Plus the birds to see out there are a bonus. About the hottest it usually gets there are highs in the middle 80s, but typically dewpoints are then in the 20s-30s. So, it feels fantastic. Highs are only around 80 for the hottest normal and very dry!
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