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July Surprise!

BHS1975 said:
600dm ridge? Ouch.

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Surprised that isn't centered over Knoxville
 
ryan1234 said:
I haven't heard thunder since last week. That's just pathetic if you ask me, especially being in the south. Can someone throw us a damn bone, already?!
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May have to wait at least 2-3 days if not longer. Cloud cover not helping today and subsidence behind this low means little coverage tomorrow. The 60-70% chance for today and tomorrow is way overdone. Should be no higher than 20% for most areas north of I-85. The coast will have better chances both days of course. This low turned to the east too early to help northern areas out. If the NC folks miss the 1 band out there now, they'll have to wait at least until Thursday or Friday for a decent chance of rain. The steady rain from this low stays south of a Rockingham Morehead city line in NC.
 
JHS said:
May have to wait at least 2-3 days if not longer. Cloud cover not helping today and subsidence behind this low means little coverage tomorrow. The 60-70% chance for today and tomorrow is way overdone. Should be no higher than 20% for most areas north of I-85. The coast will have better chances both days of course. This low turned to the east too early to help northern areas out. If the NC folks miss the 1 band out there now, they'll have to wait at least until Thursday or Friday for a decent chance of rain. The steady rain from this low stays south of a Rockingham Morehead city line in NC.
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Yeah, that's what I am thinking. Thursday looks good for some decent convection. Let's just hope it sets up over us. WE all deserve it. Hey, at least it's raining. And the majority of the extended forecast looks active. I do hope we can at least get an MCS or two in before August.
 
Really sucks living in CLT right now, TCLT is down, KGSP is down for maintenance, KCAE radar coverage here is terrible, it’s so bad
 
Hrrr clearly under did coverage in its earlier runs that left me dry. I have some hopeful showers to my SE that are moving this way. Hoping they hold together.
 
SD said:
Welp looks like im going to take another L today... will be creeping up on a month soon enough
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Has someone cursed me and you? Literally raining 2 miles to my east as the storm moves NNW barely east of me.
 

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SD said:
I guess so. I'm getting annoyed, 4 out of the last 5 summers Ive had dry periods of over 3 weeks. Poops old
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I mean this is nuts. Literally can see rain falling across a big field that's maybe 1.5 miles from me to the tree line. Not a drop here.
 

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Shaggy said:
I mean this is nuts. Literally can see rain falling across a big field that's maybe 1.5 miles from me to the tree line. Not a drop here.
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Dad just text me that he's at 1.25 today. Thats on top of 2.3 Saturday and .7 Sunday hes only 25 miles away. This blows, I can't even get a consolation prize moderate rain that's .25-.33
 
many times have I seen a radar image like this so far this summer, always to my north F803627B-625E-49B0-8AD3-AAFB2FA33ABC.png
 
SD said:
Sun is shining here, CIN has eroded, SB/ML Capes are building, PWATS increasing to around 2 inches. Yep I bet we fail

My concern for today is we get big convection going from say MHX to FAY that barfs out an outflow boundary moving N and we start to see more isolated to scattered convection as it moves north.
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Boom
 
Chazwin said:
Well after nearly an inch of rain here in southern Union County, the sun is trying to come out, so maybe we have enough to destabilize the atmosphere to get some good evening storms
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That's what I am hoping for, but I don't want to get too excited and then be disappointed once again.
 
Saturday. Looks good, nice trough in place with up to 30kts of 500mb flow so maybe storms can form in the way we like off the mountains into the piedmont to ENC ? 08BEED1A-E317-4828-9015-C5882BBA5592.png399E0945-FA48-4FF1-BAE8-E1933E47174B.png04598863-DCFB-4927-B9B7-14AEBE455B7A.png102F4B93-60C7-4DFC-B1CB-C871A32CC08B.png
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Saturday. Looks good, nice trough in place with up to 30kts of 500mb flow so maybe storms can form in the way we like off the mountains into the piedmont to ENC ? View attachment 43812View attachment 43813View attachment 43814View attachment 43815
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That doesn't happen anymore. When I was a kid it was at least 2 to 3 times a week we would get these lines from the piedmont that would hit around 5 or 6pm. Hours of stratiform afterwards with long rolling thunder.
 
Well, I just wasted an hour out (as I didn't find what I wanted to find at that store) but as I was coming home I found myself in an intense rainstorm. That got my anxiety up and I'm just now starting to settle down.
 
Nice, loosing cape over a few raindrops and even when the sun is peeking out, love it ! ?E58C54C4-2D49-458C-A59F-18F4910B6325.jpeg
 
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