Must be the brushy mountainsLooks active on the 3k NAM today for Wilkes area
Must be the brushy mountainsLooks active on the 3k NAM today for Wilkes area
I’ve been wondering the same thing. What could possibly be the error in this model that would cause a bias to extremes based on the season. How many times this past winter was it showing temps 15-20 degrees below normal and now in the summer it’s wanting to always show triple digits a week or so out.Why is the new GFS model continued to be used for temperatures when it isn't even on the same planet as verification? Or is this thing considered trash at all levels. It is always to cold during the winter, and way to warm in the summer. It has shown that KATL would be above 97-100 just about every day, it never happens.
This is what the GFS showed one week ago Saturday 7/25
Low:
View attachment 45085
High:
View attachment 45084
What actually occurred:
View attachment 45086
The low was off by a mere 10 degrees, and the high 7 degrees. I just can't understand how this is acceptable day after day.
Interesting, lower heights and energy sliding through so severe would make sense this weekend View attachment 45087View attachment 45088View attachment 45089View attachment 45090
Stone MTN. Looks to create outflow boundaries with more storms to Yadkin later this evening maybe reaching Raleigh per 3k NAM.Must be the brushy mountains
That sucksAfter averaging around 7" each month through June, this has been the norm in July.... localized flash drought
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Yeah I've noticed a downward trend, the tide has definitely turned imby....as mentioned around 7" a month prior months and now just 1.33 for July with all but .16 of that falling the first week. Heck .54 July 1, remove that and less than an inch during the hottest stretch of the year.And just like that womp womp womp
View attachment 45114
Nice loud thunder now and still pouring
did u leave without payingOver .5 of rain now
Over .5 of rain now
did u leave without paying
You get 7 onset ice events this year
FixedYou get 7 33 rain events this year
Right there with you... It's been pretty crappy for the Double R!Yeah I've noticed a downward trend, the tide has definitely turned imby....as mentioned around 7" a month prior months and now just 1.33 for July with all but .16 of that falling the first week. Heck .54 July 1, remove that and less than an inch during the hottest stretch of the year.
Setup isn't bad at all and it's honestly pretty exciting. That being said the typical fail factors start to worry me, debris clouds, stratus, residual light rain, front hopping in an outflow and moving south faster than models worries me. Lets see where we goYo @SD thoughts on this look Thursday ? Drought or nah View attachment 45130View attachment 45131View attachment 45132
Hopefully the wind isn't blowing outtoday looks solid for pop ups
Hopefully the wind isn't blowing out