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Pattern July Fry and Dry
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
I'm going to have to cut my grass today, after I just cut it last week. I think we can safely say there wont be a summer drought this year. la nina summers can be very dry.. Of course, I might eat my words for saying that.
Oconeexman
Member
- Joined
- Jan 2, 2017
- Messages
- 1,202
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- 3,167
I've been doing the same...lol
I'm ready for some relief! On the EPS around the 20th we get a break from the unbearable...but the GEFS is showing rinse and repeat.
Oconeexman
Member
- Joined
- Jan 2, 2017
- Messages
- 1,202
- Reaction score
- 3,167
That's wild the difference between here and there. It's been extremely wet imby for June and July. I've had to mow every dang weekend!
Brent
Member
It is really crazy with all these stories on the news about flooding and here how it feels like it hasn't stopped raining since March (and again this weekend has high rain chances) and then you still have people dry
I mean we were bone dry in the winter(yeah it snowed quite a bit but snow is so dry and no help) but it totally flipped to the wettest year ever pretty much so far
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Carolina Fever
Member
Had storms last night that lasted over two hours. Very cloudy here this morning. More storms are forecasted today. Maybe the clouds will hang around and prevent them from getting the spark needed for firing up. Durham, Orange, Chatham and Alamance County need a break from the rain. It seems it's been a while since we have had a summer with numerous storms like this one has been lately.
snowc
Member
Not even noon. Storms forming
snowc
Member
Wen rain
Fronts are liable to make it into the US, but they seem likely to get hung up to our north. Fortunately, the general ridge center appears to want to stay out west, keeping a trough in the means to our west. We might lose the extreme PWs for a while, but I doubt we get a lot of cool, dry air around here anytime soon.
snowc
Member
snowc
Member
Doubt we will have any cool air till Late August early September
Unless we get a miracle this month will be the first one in almost 3 years that didn't record a low below 60
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
I don’t even care about cool air. I just want dewpoints consistently below 70.
NCSNOW
Member
Current freezing level at GSO is 14,166 ft. Slap on your air jordans an take a leap to cool off. Be sure to put on hat, gloves coat.
I've been messing around with AI, trying to get quick answers for convective temp currently. Had to pop in the freezing level question.
I've been messing around with AI, trying to get quick answers for convective temp currently. Had to pop in the freezing level question.
That’s what, early October for y’all? Or maybe I’m thinking Valdosta. Here north of I20 we can get it kicked back for a day or two seemingly every other August. Usually around the second week of September it’s more lasting unless we get a tropical system.
We’ve got a shot here this afternoon
Coming down hard now. Let’s see if we can do this for an hour or two.
sick of being Wet 24/7
Was just coming here to ask if you got in on it. Around mauldin looking at 1.5-2” already in the last hour
That's what s.........oops, wrong board
Brent
Member
Honestly in South Georgia does that ever happen this time of year
Like I grew up back east... Summer always sucked
Got to double check AI. It's trippin bout half the time.
Very strong thunderstorms in a band moving SE into this area now.
Edit: these were severe warned. Huge mess all over during rush hour as I had to drive in it. CTG is quite frequent. Many roads flooded.
Edit: I ended up with ~1.25” although some in the county had 3”+.
Edit: these were severe warned. Huge mess all over during rush hour as I had to drive in it. CTG is quite frequent. Many roads flooded.
Edit: I ended up with ~1.25” although some in the county had 3”+.
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looks like about 600mb/4.5ish km for the freezing level, so 14kft is pretty close. wonder what it pulls from, if its just an average or if it uses model data or the 12z sounding
That's a good question...I'll find out real quick
snowc
Member
This Isnt Good. Fried Goose incoming
Gemini used an algorithm to estimate it to between 15-16k ft. It said it did not have access to live data. Chatgpt returned 10k as its answer and said it was an estimate. It said it can't access forecast soundings or live data. Not sure which AI tool NCSnow pulled the data from.
Downeastnc
Member
Had 2" in a little over a hr at work nothing at the house though.
You tried Grok?
Carolina Fever
Member
Am I wrong or is the line of storms coming through NC looking like a bow echo?
Here is the response:
"The freezing level in the atmosphere above Greensboro, NC, as of July 10, 2025, at 7:32 PM EDT, is approximately 15,000 to 16,000 feet above ground level. This estimate is based on current upper-air data and weather models for the region, which indicate that the 0°C isotherm (freezing level) typically resides at this altitude during mid-summer conditions in the southeastern United States."
I then asked how it sourced the data. Here is that response:
"I didn’t directly access real-time data for the freezing level above Greensboro, NC, as I lack the ability to retrieve live meteorological data like radiosonde soundings or model outputs (e.g., GFS, NAM). Instead, my response was based on general knowledge of typical atmospheric conditions in the southeastern United States during mid-summer, combined with patterns from weather models and climatological norms."
@jackendrickwx
I tried Copilot and it said this:
Right now in Greensboro, NC, the cloud ceiling is around 13,500 feet, and the dew point is 71°F, with temperatures hovering in the low 70s. That means the freezing level—where the temperature drops to 32°F—is likely well above 13,000 feet, typical for warm, humid summer conditions.
If you're tracking aviation weather or planning a mountain adventure, let me know—I can help you dig deeper into elevation-specific forecasts or nearby conditions.
Right now in Greensboro, NC, the cloud ceiling is around 13,500 feet, and the dew point is 71°F, with temperatures hovering in the low 70s. That means the freezing level—where the temperature drops to 32°F—is likely well above 13,000 feet, typical for warm, humid summer conditions.If you're tracking aviation weather or planning a mountain adventure, let me know—I can help you dig deeper into elevation-specific forecasts or nearby conditions.
This "hobby" blows 
Picked up .9" with these crazy storms. Probably a tick more but the wind was blowing too much. I don't know if it was the time of day or what but I can't recall seeing darker clouds approaching. Maybe years ago but certainly not recently. They looked almost black even though it was still daylight.
BHS1975
Member
Since last Friday, I received 5.46 inches of rain at my residence near Lake Wheeler. To be honest, I'm ready for a break from the precipitation but not as ready as the counties west of me where Chantal dumped buckets of rain causing the serious flooding they have been dealing with.
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